Login
Discover
Waves
Communities
Write
Login
Signup
Peter Hulm
@nusefile
39
A longtime development journalist and editorial consultant for international organizations, I now live in the wilds of the Valais
Followers
242
Following
9
Follow
Email digest
Resource Credits
Available
Used
Location
Switzerland
Website
https://www.nusefile.com
Created
2017-07-10 09:49
RSS Feed
Subscribe
Posts
Blog
Posts
Comments
Communities
Wallet
nusefile
crypto
9y
Superforecasting cryptocurrencies: Week 7 Day 3: Who does what?
10 October 2017 Bitcoin rules With all the attention on Bitcoin – will it reach $5000? – mainly at the expense of other cryptocurrencies, I thought it might help you to see what the others say they have
$ 0.000
2
1
nusefile
crypto
9y
Superforecasting cryptocurrencies: Week 7 Day 2: More of same: good or bad?
9 October 2017 (delayed by steemit glitches) Sticking with the big boys Bitcoin and Ripple, given a new lease of life in Korea (35% up over seven days), dominated the markets, with nearly two-thirds of
$ 0.000
1
nusefile
crypto
9y
Superforecasting cryptocurrencies: Week 7 Day 1: What happens next?
8 October 2017 Examine the charts The ups and downs so far this month, if not predictable, have been hardly surprising. OmiseGO and Ripple have been the tokens to go up and down, while BitcoinCash (BCH)
nusefile
crypto
9y
Superforecasting cryptocurrencies: Week 6 Day 7: random walks
7 October 2017 Stabilization or quiet before storm? Another light day of trading, with Japan's yen and BTC ahead of the others (36.46% vs 35.74% for the US$). Korean Bitcoin trading accounted for 7.84%,
nusefile
crypto
9y
Superforecasting cryptocurrencies: Week 6 Day 5-6:. ..and up again...
5-6 October 2017 Still a bitcoin game Despite my scoring of developments as adding 2% to the acceptability of cryptos worldwide, the percentage probabilities of a 50% price increase by 1 December has not
nusefile
crypto
9y
Superforecasting cryptocurrencies: Week 6 Day 4: ... must come down
4 October 2017 The most significant development seems to be the drop in the Bitcoin Cash price: more than 20% over seven days. Once again, the Korean trading seems to have dominated performances, particularly
nusefile
crypto
9y
Superforecasting cryptocurrencies: Week 6 Day 2: What goes up
2 October 2017 On target? Which target? From their current performance, Ripple and OmiseGO seem most likely to reach their target by 1 December. But none of the cryptos are close to the 50% increase set
nusefile
crypto
9y
Superforecasting cryptocurrencies: Week 5: Catching up
29 September - 1 October 2017 Charts for three days here. I was caught up in editorial deadlines for another publication. 28 September 2017 table 29 September 2017 table 30 September 2017 table This has
nusefile
crypto
9y
Superforecasting cryptocurrencies: What's new
28 September 2017 Week 5 Day 4: What's new? Answer: not much Once again the prices give us little indication of the underlying forces determining the volatility of the cryptocurrencies. Zcash might seem
nusefile
crypto
9y
Superforecasting cryptocurrencies: What I learned about crypto
26 September 2017 Obviously I learned more than how volatile prices can be, how little to trust technical analysis, that many events are not determinants of how prices move, or indicators of acceptance
nusefile
crypto
9y
Superforecasting cryptocurrencies: Week 5 Day 1: FUD and phooey
25 September 2017 Why I hate technical analysis When Bitcoin goes up or down it's in a bubble that's about to burst. When it stays relatively stable (say 0.14% gain in seven days, as on 27 September),
nusefile
crypto
9y
Superforecasting cryptocurrencies: Week 4 Day 7: the hump and the cliff
24 September 2017 Asia's hump, Asia's cliff The Asian hump and cliff (before 6am) made its reappearance, while the "recovery" in crypto prices continued. What does recovery mean in this context?
nusefile
crypto
9y
Superforecasting cryptocurrencies: Week 4 Day 6: Explaining the dip
23 September 2017 MGIF! What happened? My Gosh It's Friday again! The cryptocurrency market lost $10 billion on Friday, down to $122 billion (it's now back to $127 bn on 23 September). Josiah Wilmoth of
nusefile
crypto
9y
Superforecasting cryptocurrencies: Week 4 Day 5: More of same in both directions
22 September 2017 More of the same ups and downs The day saw pretty much the same developments with all major cryptocoins: down on the previous day, up over seven days, and down compared to 30 days ago.
nusefile
bitcoin
9y
Superforecasting cryptocurrencies: Week 4 Day 4: China syndrome
21 September 2017 China syndrome but no crash Once again Korean won trading was the most active, followed by US$, and Bitcoin Cash the main victim. One puzzle is the lack of long-term impact from the
nusefile
crypto
9y
Superforecasting cryptocurrencies: Week 4 Day 3: Where have all the traders gone?
20 September 2017 Where have all the traders gone? After the frenzy of Thursday and Friday last week, the market was comparatively quiet again. There were hardly any crypto developments to signal for their
nusefile
crypto
9y
Superforecasting cryptocurrencies: Week 4 Day 2: What the conspiracy theorists say
19 September 2017 Ethereum almost recovered its losses over the previous week but most other alt-coins (except Dash) were still down. Conspiracy theorists "A Coordinated War on Crypto" asserts
nusefile
crypto
9y
Superforecasting cryptocurrencies: Week 4 Day 1: Living contradictions
18 September 2017 Living contradictions Once again we see the contradiction between the midnight results and the 14:00 prices compared to previous days. We can also contrast the assessed probability that
nusefile
crypto
9y
Superforecasting cryptocurrencies: Week 3 Day 7: Focus on underlying forces
17 September 2017 Underlying forces Crypto's market capitalization was down to $120 bn but bitcoin still accounted for hal (48.7%) on 17 September. The usual weekend drop in trading was visible, and most
nusefile
crypto
9y
Superforecasting cryptocurrencies: Week 3 Day 6: Ignore the market
16 September 2017 Ignore today's market Friday saw a recovery in crypto prices. But it was not my main concern (in fact 17 September saw a typical reverse). I am more interested in the fundamental value
← Latest
Older →