Today's event will go down in the SteemLeo history books. In the early hours in the morning @flipstar bought the rest of the LEOMM sell wall.
@flipstar bought the remaining roughly 3540 LEOMMs (Steemleo’s digital mining tokens), which means the price of the LEOMM will now be decided by the Markets.
But that wasn't my initial thought or concern, I was thinking how does @flipstar 's purchase affect me. I'm not going to front, I was caught off guard, as I was going to at least double my stake in LEOMMs. So early today I attempted to assess my ownership and chances of winning some LEOMMs before and after the LEOMM sell wall disappeared.
This initial assessment was to get a gross idea of whether I should hold or sell my LEOMM
YESTERDAY
TODAY
Statistically, it doesn't look like a significant impact, but my gut was telling me otherwise. So I did what any other engineer would do and went down the rat hole of numbers a bit more. I tracked the last 18 hours since that big purchase was made to see who actually mined LEOMMs among the top four holders and myself.
NOTE: I extrapolated the last six hours.
So on avg., each day the top four miners and myself will mine the following LEOMMs:
So on avg, each year the top four miners and myself will mine the following LEOMM
Now please note, the data is based off of only 18 hours and I'm sure if I kept track of the numbers over time, the data would be a lot more accurate. I only wanted to attempt to see to what my ownership would equate to in actual mined LEOMMs.
As you can see, the difference in ownership between me and @flipstar is 14X, but the difference in mined LEOMM is 24X. Thus, more mining power, the more mined LEOMMs one can expect.
So if the LEO price didn't move and stayed at $0.02, it would take me 4.5 yrs to breakeven. However, if the price of LEO increased 5X, my breakeven would be under 1 yr.
The next step in the process is to figure out the value of an actual LEOMM in the future. However, that will be for another post.
This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn't financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.