I published my Chaos Packs Strategy yesterday.
I made some wrong assumptions, @adulruna highlighted the significant problems with that plan and now I am back to square 1.
My understanding is now that there will be 3 Phases:
- phase 1: Presale
You will need vouchers per pack, get a chance for some rare presale rewards
(1 million packs) - phase 2: Public Sale with Vouchers
You will need vouchers per pack, voucher drop rate doubled, no rare rewards
(2 million packs) - phase 3: Public Sale
The last 2 million packs are being sold without Vouchers
Total of 5 million packs.
A single Voucher sells for ~19$, the packs are always 4$ ... = 23$/Chaos Pack.
Yet, you can buy them on the market for ~9$/pack.
Also, Chaos supply is 33,333, while at the middle of presale ~500,000 vouchers should be in circulation. That would mean, less than 10% of the vouchers have been redeemed.
This is all very confusing.
At a doubled drop rate and with less value to be redeemed with it (no presale benefit), the normal vouchers should trade at ~10$. That is still 14$ for a pack, then.
When they came up with this, did anyone expect the vouchers ending up being worth more than the actual pack?
This morning, I found this post:
In the video, he says packs in phase 3 might be sold privately, in 100k $ stacks.
I am not convinced, but I also think the 2 million packs will be sold out fast and that could cause some unfairness or even technological problems... not sure.
I am seriously considering to just buy the packs on the market and be done with it.
9$/pack
Seems like a good price, considering everything.
How is a pack half the price of a voucher?