接着聊一聊美国大选的情况。昨天说到民主党的候选人哈里斯有些自暴自弃了，呈现破罐破摔的态势。因为特朗普现在的选情已经呈现一种碾压的状态。这其中的原因很大一部分是因为民主党已经与幕后势力与深层政府深度绑定，倾向于推出像哈里斯这样没有什么政治主张和能力的人，作为前台傀儡以达成自己实际上长期掌权的政治目的。
这并非什么阴谋论。很明显的事例包括：依靠政府订单的军工复合体、需要政府补贴的环保新能源行业，还有大量的非选举产生的政府雇员。总统可以像走马灯一样更换，但这些政府雇员都是干一辈子的，而且他们才是真正握有权力、实际执行的人。
在这种状态下，哈里斯也知道自己即便选上了总统宝座，也只是和拜登一样是个傀儡而已，不可能有自己的政治主张或者完全按照自己的意愿行事。所以她在竞选中的表现，完全不像特朗普那样有非常强的好胜心，反而表现得非常懈怠，完全依靠手下和竞选班底。竞选演说也完全需要提词器，如果提词器故障就会长时间冷场。接受采访时也只能说一些毫无意义的空话套话，回答什么问题最后都会归结到对特朗普的指责上面。
一个显而易见的事实是，哈里斯已经当了三年半的副总统了，将民众对现状的所有不满都归咎于一直处于民主党政治追杀之下的特朗普，完全没有道理。最近一个比较大的乌龙是她在接受采访时，竟然连关键的战场州密歇根州的名字都想不起来了，完全就是一副对竞选职务不上心、无所谓的态度。言下之意就是对她的竞选团队说："你们都给我好好干，最好能让我躺赢，这样才能保住现在的权势和饭碗。如果我选不上，倒霉的是你们，我自己是无所谓的。想要我努力竞选？门都没有。"
特朗普这一边，在形势大好的情况下，仍然马不停蹄地参加各种竞选活动。一天之内要乘坐他的私人飞机飞往好几个战场州，甚至特朗普还亲自到麦当劳炸薯条，做亲民秀。在战场州这么拼命，特朗普甚至在纽约州也安排了一场大型集会，声称只要他不停地努力，甚至可以在纽约州战胜民主党拿下这里的选举人票。而这种事情上一次发生，还是在1984年里根竞选总统的时候。在那之后，纽约州就是民主党的铁票仓了。
所以说特朗普的选情现在看来颇有一些吹枯拉朽的形势。现在回过头来看，就像2016年主流媒体误判了特朗普一样，现在虽然民主党把特朗普当成头号大敌来认真对待，但在很多方面仍然低估了他。比如对特朗普颇受诟病的是，他放弃了笼络共和党的建制派，没有选择初选时的竞争对手妮基·黑利作为竞选搭档，而选择了没有什么资历和人望的万斯，被认为是用人只看忠诚度的选战策略，而且得罪了共和党的建制派。
但事实证明，万斯并不只是特朗普的小迷弟，只有忠诚没有能力。在副总统辩论中，万斯明显压过民主党的副总统候选人沃尔兹一头。而且还敢于主动上CNN等支持民主党的媒体接受采访，不惧怕这些反特朗普的主流媒体主持人的刁难，与他们进行辩论，通过这些主流媒体向民主党的受众宣讲特朗普的政治主张，挖民主党选票的墙角。目前看来，这一策略的效果非常显著。
虽然特朗普放弃联合共和党建制派的策略导致很大一批共和党建制派转投支持民主党，但这些人根本没有什么民众基础，能够带走的选票非常有限。而且从他上一任期来看，特别是在最后关头，建制派出身的副总统彭斯对他的背叛，也说明联合共和党建制派的策略得到的收益非常有限，但在关键时候受到掣肘却非常严重。
而且拒绝与共和党建制派的合作，并没有缩小和削弱特朗普的阵营，反而吸引了其他意识形态相近的大佬加盟，比如肯尼迪家族的小罗伯特·肯尼迪，还有前民主党的总统竞选人、夏威夷州的参议员图尔西·加巴德。此人在民主党总统候选人的初选辩论当中曾经秒杀哈里斯，但她因为积极反对援助乌克兰而受到民主党主流的排挤，这次选举中也投奔了特朗普。
接着聊一聊美国大选的情况。昨天说到民主党的候选人哈里斯有些自暴自弃了，破罐破摔。因为川普现在的选情已经呈现一种碾压的状态。这其中的原因很大一部分是因为主党已经与幕后势力与深成政府深度绑定，那倾向于推出跟哈里斯这样没有什么政治主张和能力的人。前台傀儡达成由自己实际上长期掌权的政治目的，不要认为这是什么阴谋论。很明显一个这些事例就包括依靠政府订单的军工复合体，需要政府补贴的环保新能源行业，还有大量的非选举产生的政府雇员，总统可以像走马灯一样的换这些政府雇员可都是一干一辈子的，而且他们才是。真正握有权利实际执行的人。所以在这种状态下，哈里斯也知道自己，即便选上了总统宝座，也只是和拜登一样是个傀儡而已，不可能有自己的政治主张或者完全按照自己的愿行势。所以在竞选中的表现，就是完全不像川普那样。特朗普那样有非常强的好胜心，表现的非常懈怠，完全一。靠的手下和竞选班底竞选机会的演说也完全需要提词器。如果提词器故障了，就会长时间的冷场，接受采访，也只能说一些毫无意义的空话套话，回答什么问题，最后都会归结到对特朗普的指责上面，哪怕别人问的问题是，可是一个瞎子也能看见的事实是，阿里斯已经当了三年半的副总统了，将民众对。现状的所有不满都归旧于。这三年半来一直处于民主党政治追杀之下，特朗普完全没有道理。最近一个比较大的乌龙是他在接受采访时，竟然连个关键的战场中，密歇根州的名字都想不起来了，完全就是一副对竞选职务不上心，无所谓的爱度，言下之意，就是对他的竞选团队。很都给我好好干，最好能让我躺赢，这样人才能保住现在的权势和饭碗。如果我选不上倒霉的是你们自己是无所谓的。想要我努力竞选门都没有。关窗普这一边，在形势大好的情况下，仍然马不停蹄的参加各种竞选活动，天之内要乘坐他的私人飞机，飞好几个战场中，甚至特朗普还。亲自到麦当劳炸薯条，做清明秀汪在战场中这么拼命。特朗普甚至在纽约州也安排了一场大型集会，声称只要他不停的努力，甚至可以在纽约州战胜民主党拿下这里的选举人票。而这种事情，上一次发生，还是在跟竞选总统的时机。在那之后，纽约州就是民主党的铁票苍王。所以说特朗。朗普的选型现在看来颇有一些吹枯拉朽的形式。现在回过头来看，就像20116年主流媒体乌了川普一样，现在虽然民主党把川普当成头号大敌来认真对待，但在很多方面仍然低古了汤。比如对受诟病的，就他放弃了环结共和党的建制派，选择不选时的竞争对手利兹黑利作为。选搭档，而选择了没有什么日利和人望的万斯，被认为是用人只看忠诚度选战策略，而且得罪了共和党的建制派。但事实证明，万斯并不只是特朗普的小迷弟，只有忠诚，没有能力。在副总统辩论中，万斯明显压过民主党的副总统候选人沃尔茨以头。而且还敢于利用。对手的论证地动赏CNN等支持民主党的媒体接受采访，惧怕这些主流媒体反特朗普的主流媒体主持人的刁难，与他们进行辩论，通过这些主流媒体向民主党的受众，宣讲特朗普的政治主张，8民主党选票的墙角。我现在形成来看，这一策略的效果非常的显著。虽然特朗普的特朗普放弃联合共。共和党建制派的策略导致很大一批共和党建制派转投支持民主党，但这些人根本没有什么民众基础能够吸引过去的选票非常有限。而且从他上一任期来看，特别是在最后关头，建制派出身的副总统彭斯对他的背叛，也说明，联合共和党建制派的策略得到的收益非常有。但在关键时候受到撤肘却非常严重，而且拒绝与共和党建制派的合作，并没有缩少和削弱特朗普的阵营，反而吸引了其他意识形态相近的大佬加盟，比如候选人肯尼迪家族的小肯尼迪，还有前民主党的总统竞选人夏威夷州的参议员图尔希，此人在共民主党总统候选人的初选辩论当中。曾经秒杀哈里斯，但他但他因为积积极反对援助乌克兰，而受到民主党主流的排挤，这次选举中也投奔了特朗普。
Moving on to the US election. Yesterday, I said that Harris, the Democratic candidate, was a little self-defeating, broken. Because Trump's current campaign has taken on a crushing state. A big part of the reason for this is that the main party has become deeply tied to the behind-the-scenes and entrenched government, which tends to push out people with little political standing or ability like Harris. Don't think it's a conspiracy theory that the front office puppets achieve political goals that they actually stay in power for a long time. Obviously one of these examples is the military-industrial complex that depends on government orders, the green new energy industry that needs government subsidies, and the large number of unelected government employees that the president can change like a lamp. Someone who actually holds the power to actually enforce it. So in this state, Harris also knows that even if he is elected president, he is just a puppet like Biden, and can not have his own political opinions or fully follow his own wishes. So the performance of the campaign is not like Trump at all. Trump has a very strong competitive heart, the performance is very slack, completely one. The speeches of the lieutenants and the campaign staff also need teleprompters. If the teleprompter fails, there will be a long silence, an interview, and only some meaningless empty words, and what questions are answered, and finally it will come down to the accusation of Trump, even if the question is asked by others, but a blind man can see the fact that Ellis has been the vice president for three and a half years, and the people will be right. All the grievances of the status quo return to the old. After three and a half years of Democratic political hounding, Trump makes no sense. Recently, a relatively big mistake was that when he was interviewed, he even couldn't remember the name of Michigan in a key battleground, which was completely a pair of unconcerned and indifferent love for his campaign position, meaning that his campaign team. Do a good job, and it is best that I win, so that I can keep my power and my job. If I don't get it, it doesn't matter if it's on you. There's no way I'm gonna campaign hard. On this side of the window, in a good situation, he still participated in various campaign activities without stopping, and flew several battlefields in his private plane within days, even Trump. Personally to McDonald's French fries, do clear show Wang in the battlefield so hard. Trump even arranged a big rally in New York, claiming that if he kept working hard, he could even win the electoral votes in New York against the Democrats. And the last time that happened was during a presidential campaign. After that, New York was the Democratic king. So Trang. Rumple's selection now looks a bit of a blowout. Looking back now, just as the mainstream media wooed Trump in 20116, although the Democratic Party now takes Trump seriously as its number one enemy, it is still in many ways outdated. For example, he has been criticised for abandoning the Republican establishment, choosing not to run for office against his former rival, Liz Haley. Choosing a running mate instead of Vance, who had little popularity and popularity, was seen as a loyalty campaign strategy and offended the Republican establishment. But it turns out that Vance is not just Trump's little fan brother, only loyalty, no ability. In the vice presidential debate, Vance clearly took the lead over the Democratic vice presidential nominee, Walter Woltz. And not afraid to use it. The opponent's argument inspires CNN and other media supporting the Democratic Party to accept interviews, fears the difficulties of these mainstream media anti-Trump mainstream media hosts, debates with them, and announces Trump's political propositions to the Democratic audience through these mainstream media, 8 corners of the Democratic vote. In my opinion, the effect of this strategy is very remarkable. Although Trump's Trump renounced the United Communist Party. The tactics of the Republican establishment led to a large number of establishment Republicans defecting to the Democratic Party, but these people simply did not have the popular base to attract the very limited votes of the past. And the betrayal of his last term, especially by establishment Vice President Mike Pence at the last minute, suggests that the strategy of uniting the Republican establishment has paid off. But the withdrawal at a critical time was very serious, and the refusal to cooperate with the Republican establishment did not shrink and weaken Trump's camp, but attracted other ideologically similar big players to join, such as Kennedy Jr., a candidate of the Kennedy family, and former Democratic presidential candidate Senator Turchy of Hawaii. He was in the middle of a Democratic presidential primary debate. Harris once killed Harris, but he was ostracized by the mainstream of the Democratic Party because of his active opposition to aid to Ukraine, and he defected to Trump in this election.
