Here is a chart of the average polls so far (the average is used so that the sampling errors of different pollsters cancel out): source At this point in the 1992 - 1997 Parliament, Blair's Labour Party

Here is what the Electoral Commission reported UK political parties received in Q32023: source The Tories reported that they'd received a bequest of £10 million from John Sainsbury's will, which bumped

YouGov has done some interesting polling where they ask their polling panel their housing status (own outright, own with a mortgage, private renting or social renting). Here is what they found: source

It's a chart of house prices (what else?!), from 2007 to 2021, adjusted for inflation (i.e. "in real terms"). It's worth pointing out that in nominal terms all house prices have risen. source

Last week the net migration figures for the year ending June 2023 were released. (Net migration is people entering the UK to stay for at least a year, less people leaving). It came in at 672,000 and everyone

As a Brit, I'm really glad Harold Wilson kept the UK out of the Vietnam war (and the wars in Cambodia and Laos). It meant my dad didn't have his twenties ruined like the conscripts in the US did. As for

The Autumn mini budget contained a number of surprises. The Chancellor cut National Insurance contributions by 2%. He also made some important changes to business expensing, which should lift growth by

The budget is next week, and there have been hints that there is some room for tax cuts. The Inland Revenue reports that Total HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC) receipts for April 2023 to September 2023 are

So: Rishi Sunak sacked Suella Braverman as expected. But the sacking was completely overshadowed by the return of former Prime Minister David Cameron to serve as Foreign Secretary in Rishi Sunak's government.

Here is the profile of the "don't know" voters: source The "don't knows" are remarkably similar to existing Conservative voters (and those who say they'll vote Reform). But can the

There are two groups very unhappy with Keir Starmer's stance on Gaza: left-wing English wokerati, and Muslim voters. Both are scarred by the Iraq war. Iraq remember, had nothing to do with 9/11. The real

... even though we are not. Here is the polling from the Financial Times: source Two-thirds think we are in recession! Where has this idea come from? In my opinion it stems from the IMF's ludicrous claims

A year ago, Nicola Sturgeon was First Minister of Scotland and the SNP enjoyed a 21 point lead (very remarkable as they had been in power for 15 years by then). Here is what the polling looks like now:

Lisa Cameron, the SNP MP for East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow, defected to the Tories last Thursday. It's a headscratcher. If she believes in independence, why not defect to the Greens or Alba?

Here is YouGov's poll: Who do you think will win the next election? Labour: 52% Conservatives: 25% Does Keir Starmer look like a PM in waiting? Does: 31% Does not: 48% Is Labour ready for government? Does:

The Rutherglen and Hamilton by-election results are out, and woah, what an upset! People had thought Labour might take the seat off the SNP with an 8% lead, but this is how it turned out: Labour 58.6%

Ted Heath famously refused to leave Parliament when he lost the Conservative Leadership election to Margaret Thatcher in 1975. Throughout Thatcher's premiership (1979 to 1990), he sat on the backbenches

...to 10 points. Here is Opinium Research: LAB: 39% (-2) CON: 29% (+3) LDM: 12% (+1) GRN: 7% (=) RFM: 7% (-1) SNP: 3% (=) Political pundits will be wondering, "Is this down to Suella Braverman's speech

Here is the polling graph from pollsters Redfield & Wilton of the so-called Red Wall seats (seats that had been held by Labour for decades but which switched to Conservative in the 2019 general election):

The only reason Britain was going to phase out petrol cars and gas boilers by 2030 instead of 2035 as in the EU, is that Boris Johnson, urged on by his environmentalist wife Carrie, was trying to show