This 28 min lecture (which I gave at the 2021 US National Forensic College meeting in New York) provides an introductory overview of Bayes and likelihood ratios and looks at its use in DNA evidence

It employs Bayes' theorem to compute the remaining probability of identifying a signal within a given radius around our planet. Read more at

Why is a parameter that is very close to zero strange or considered a problem? Isn't zero just a number like all others and we are not worried if, for example, a number is very close to 34. From a bayesian

I have a feeling my God is taking me places. Just watch out for it. Small girl with a Big God. Can't love me less

A very simple conditional probability calculation formula is modern foundation of mobile robotic perception, sensor fusion and object tracking. If you need to deal with an 'uncertain world', you must resort

What is the "Bayes' Theorem"? "Bayes' theorem is a mathematical formula for determining conditional probability named after 18th-century British mathematician Thomas Bayes (1701–1761). The

Imagine there is a disease that afflicts just 1 in every 100 people in the population. A new test has been developed to detect the disease that is 99% accurate. That is, for people with the disease, the