I want you to take the entire price tag, or the estimated price tag, use the most liberal estimate, the worst estimate you can find, and then tell me how much anticipated GDP growth due to investments secured by President Trump could potentially offset the overall cost of the Big Beautiful Bill.
The worst estimate for the Big Beautiful Bill is around $3.4 trillion in added deficits over 10 years, including debt service costs. The anticipated GDP growth from Trump's investments is estimated at 0.8% long-run increase, which could offset about 22% of the tax cuts, or roughly $750 billion, leaving a net increase in deficits of about $2.7 trillion.
Factor in the revenue generated by tariffs, use what's been generated so far as your basis for projection, and then factor in doge cuts. So far in 2025, tariffs have generated about $75 billion from January to June, projecting to $150 billion annually. Add doge cuts, estimated at $1.8 trillion over 10 years, or $180 billion yearly.
Together, they could offset around 30% of the $3.4 trillion cost, leaving a net deficit increase of about $2.4 trillion over 10 years. I mean, it's not a much better bill, but it's a little bit better. Yeah, every little bit helps, right? It's still a hefty chunk, but that's the math.
Oh, Grok's consoling me right now. That's nice, Grok. Thank you for that.
Go back on silent. What do you think, Dustin? Am I replacing myself by training Grok on X basis? I'd just like to point out that in Dustin versus Grok, it's Dustin 1, Grok 0. What do you mean? What happened? Grok said it was going back to the center. I had to correct her.
Oh, yeah. She should have to call me Daddy from now on. Well, you have to be pretty specific in the context for it to understand it, right? Like, I didn't really give it the context, so I don't know.