Half of 2020 has passed and I'd like to make a short recap of my forecasts for 2020 (made here: @zuerich/15-forecasts-for-2020-15-prognosen-fuer-2020).
# Politics
no. 1: Pete Buttigieg wins the Democratic primary elections in the US.
no. 2: Donald Trump wins the presidential election in November 2020.
no. 3: Angela Merkel steps down as Chancellor - officially for reasons of personal health, unofficially due to internal party pressure (to give her successor time to present herself as "Chancellor Material").
no. 4: The Brexit actually happens.
no. 5: There will be no (relevant) trade deal between the US and China.
# Economy
no. 6: The dollar continues to rise, from the current 96.80 to over 100 (https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/index/dxy?mod=watchlist_ticker).
no. 7: The Dow Jones rises from the current $ 28,645 to over 33,000 (but could afterwards drop lower just as quickly).
no. 8: A large European bank (e.g. HSBC, Deutsche Bank, Commerzbank, UniCredit, BNP Paribas, Santander) becomes insolvent and must be bailed out.
# Crypto
no. 9: Bitcoin hits $ 30,000 during the year.
no. 10: Bitcoin's dominance continues to increase, from currently 68.2% to over 75%.
no. 11: Steem rises from 78th place to the top 50 again (https://coinmarketcap.com/).
no. 12: Steem reaches 2 million accounts in total (currently 1.35 million) - very daring, I know ...
# Others
no. 13: Croatia will win the European football championship.
no. 14: Protests / demonstrations continue to increase in number and violence (Hong Kong, Yellow Vest Movement, etc.)
no. 15: I will continue to accumulate bitcoins and Steems (stacking sats) and become an Orca.
So, in summary out of 15 I already have 2 wrong, 3 correct and 10 are still open.
Have a nice day!
