Dear Hiveans,
After enjoyable Christmas holidays with the family, I wish you a nice year's end and an even better start into 2024.
Last year I made some predictions (here), which I would like to review now:
| forecast | evaluation |
|---|---|
| Bitcoin will surpass 40`000 USD this year, with lots of volatility. | Correct |
| Hive will continue to grow, with its price stabilizing above 0.30 USD. | Correct |
| S&P500 will reach a new all-time high (current ATH around 4`800). | Wrong, but by a hair's breadth, by 0.14%. |
| Recep Tayyip Erdo臒an will lose the presidential elections in Turkey. | Unfortunately wrong. |
| The oil price will rise above 100 USD again. | Wrong, but narrowly, it went above 93 USD. |
| We will see another "big event" after Covid-19 and Putin`s war. My guess is a major popular uprising (revolution), either in China, Russia, Turkey or Italy. | The Prigozhin rebellion (wiki) wasn't enough for this forecast become true. |
| Though I don't watch sports: FC Bayern Munich will win the UEFA Champions League. | Wrong. |
So, as last year 2 right and 5 wrong - unfortunately not so good again 馃槙. New year, new luck 馃崁.
Predictions for 2024:
- Bitcoin will surpass the old ATH of 70`000 USD this year, with lots of volatility.
- Hive will continue to grow, with its price going above 0.75 USD.
- The S&P500 will crash from a new all-time high by more than 40%.
- The new US President will be neither Biden nor Trump.
- One of the big banks in Europe will go down (wiki_list).
- Putin, Erdogan, or Xi Jinping will die.
- England will win the UEFA Euro 2024 (soccer).
Review of my goals for 2023:
- 300,000 Hive Power - I downsized somewhat, but aim further to reach that goal.
- At least 52 posts - check
- 2'000 Followers - still not there yet.
- Distribute 25'000 upvotes - Check.
My goal is to continue to grow on and with Hive, both in terms of engagement and accumulating Hive Power. Let's continue to make Hive the greatest social network with the best community: kind, bright, responsible, creative, mutually supportive, while fostering an open culture of discussion and embracing our differences.
I wish you a great new year, full of health, success and happiness.
zuerich
P.S. Don't get irritated by some nasty downvoters (like 