### It's been a while Looking at the chart, it would seem that 2025 was a mediocre year for ETH. But it actually rallied from ~$1500 to ~$4500 before it gave up some of those gains. Overall, I think ETH is set up for a similar run like 2020-2021, although the big difference has been the time that ETH has traded in the $1000-$4000 range. **It has been 4+ years without any serious price appreciation** (although it has been a good range to trade in). Breaking through the red resistance in the 4k area should be pretty big, since last time this initiated a 1+ year rally taking price from under $100 to almost $5k! Obviously, we won't see such a big price swing this time, but it should still be a good time for ETH hodlers. ![image.png](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/tobetada/23tHb6kpjZnnjoZHt2omicKt2VuMgzRuUEn1hAtTUMtJcAnBAZ2fsJWQP9c2m16s2hyb1.png) My outlook is quite straight forward. Once the resistance is broken, I would expect price to tag along the black trend line which is quite a bit less steep than in 2020-2021. The last time it took around 350 days for the first big peak to establish itself with a second one around 1.5 years later. If we take this time frame a first peak could be reached in Q4 of 2026 - essentially a 1 year delayed bull market. ![image.png](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/tobetada/23tcNs5P617zWQrAFin19C9ANvbbsSyd5vQBQFUbLueXdnHUhb5oHLXdeiKqKE4VHWPTa.png) However, **getting timing is always the hard part**. I could easily see the rally last much longer as the price movements are much more elongated in recent years. If so, a rally in 2027 is definitely possible. Although **the target seems to be a bit more clear**: The ceiling should be around $24k for Q4 of 2026 with a lower one at $10k. Should the rally last longer we could see higher targets as well. ### Conclusion Vitalik some days ago tweeted that **ETH had solved the trilemma problem**. While ETH isn't the only one that has done that, it still seems like a bullish case. To be honest, using ETH nowadays actually doesn't feel terrible anymore. Gas fees are in the cent range and transactions are quick! For anyone around longer than a year, this would have been a dream... ETH should perform very well in an Alt season and overall I don't think it will get dethroned from #2 anytime soon. --- *As a general reminder: Please keep in mind that none of this is official investment advice! Crypto trading entails a great deal of risk; never spend money that you can't afford to lose!* ![Bottom.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmaKSaCaesHvFXaRovU2pKpJX3pzguP2mgPZPLM8Ac1LQg/Bottom.jpg) ⛅🌦🌧🌦🌧🌨☁🌩🌦⛅🌧☁🌤🌥🌪🌧🌨🌩⛅🌦☁🌤🌥🌤⛅🌤⛅🌦⛅ ![lovetheclouds_community_banner.jpg](https://files.steempeak.com/file/steempeak/tobetada/8JQDzWCq-lovetheclouds_community_banner.jpg) ### **[Check out the Love The Clouds Community if you share the love for clouds!](https://peakd.com/c/hive-131609/created)** ⛅🌦🌧🌦🌧🌨☁🌩🌦⛅🌧☁🌤🌥🌪🌧🌨🌩⛅🌦☁🌤🌥🌤⛅🌤⛅🌦⛅ ![Bottom.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmaKSaCaesHvFXaRovU2pKpJX3pzguP2mgPZPLM8Ac1LQg/Bottom.jpg)

Will ETH take the lead