It is facile to expect being lied to might be beneficial. It is ludicrous to use pretend data to make extrapolations. Finally, it is farcical to use pretend data when good data exists.

Italy is not China, didn't start the plague with their lab, and is producing real data. Presently the death rate (as of two days ago presented by Dr. John Campbell on his Youtube series of videos you can have a gander at) is 6.6%. While Italy has one of the most aged population structures in the world, this is the best data we have regarding the CFR of SARS-2-CoV so far.

It is of note that CFR was calculated before the ICU system was overwhelmed by cases, which now has happened. Since ~half ICU patients survived, in fact that CFR will ~double when ICU beds and care are no longer available to most of the patients that need them. This will result in a CFR >10%.

If only half of the American people become infected that will result in ~15 million deaths.

'It's just the flu, bro.' is no longer an acceptable approach.

Good luck.