[Update] Turns out that archers logic had some bug that was been fixed very fast. That's very good for SM but my stats are now useless. I will try to make another one in few days with new data.
Since I saw few people were interested to see how hit chance looks like in SM, I did quick check of last 161230 battles (more or less current season) and calculated how often enemies with given speed were hit or not. Including if they have flying or dodge abilities.
Battles with True Aim were excluded.
Magic attack, poison damage and blast are also excluded because they always hit.
Table fields:
Speed
Shows defender speed and his abilities
F for Flying, D for Dodge
3-F-D means Attacker was trying to hit Defender of speed 3 who has Flying and DodgeTotal - hits and miss added together to calculate Chance to hit %
Table is sorted by Chance to hit.
Small sample may give way off results due to random generator and bad luck.
Melee Attacker
| Defender Speed | Hits | Misses | Total | Chance to hit % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 301420 | 3239 | 304659 | 98.94 |
| 2 | 475195 | 7002 | 482197 | 98.55 |
| 3 | 378775 | 19637 | 398412 | 95.07 |
| 4 | 149713 | 16424 | 166137 | 90.11 |
| 5 | 37218 | 7028 | 44246 | 84.12 |
| 2-D | 5 | 1 | 6 | 83.33 |
| 6 | 28039 | 8088 | 36127 | 77.61 |
| 2-F | 19688 | 6741 | 26429 | 74.49 |
| 1-F | 2655 | 923 | 3578 | 74.20 |
| 7 | 482 | 175 | 657 | 73.36 |
| 3-F | 31552 | 12110 | 43662 | 72.26 |
| 4-D | 3455 | 1475 | 4930 | 70.08 |
| 3-D | 153 | 66 | 219 | 69.86 |
| 4-F | 6830 | 3080 | 9910 | 68.92 |
| 8 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 68.42 |
| 5-D | 3349 | 1898 | 5247 | 63.83 |
| 5-F | 2914 | 1826 | 4740 | 61.48 |
| 6-F | 2741 | 1979 | 4720 | 58.07 |
| 6-D | 4472 | 3436 | 7908 | 56.55 |
| 7-F | 107 | 92 | 199 | 53.77 |
| 4-F-D | 63 | 57 | 120 | 52.50 |
| 3-F-D | 8 | 9 | 17 | 47.06 |
| 7-D | 27 | 35 | 62 | 43.55 |
| 5-F-D | 1221 | 1868 | 3089 | 39.53 |
| 6-F-D | 833 | 1464 | 2297 | 36.26 |
| 7-F-D | 3 | 18 | 21 | 14.29 |
| 8-D | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.00 |
Ranged Attacker
| Defender Speed | Hits | Misses | Total | Chance to hit % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 245265 | 0 | 245265 | 100.00 |
| 2 | 292324 | 0 | 292324 | 100.00 |
| 2-D | 4 | 0 | 4 | 100.00 |
| 3 | 242314 | 0 | 242314 | 100.00 |
| 4 | 79048 | 0 | 79048 | 100.00 |
| 5 | 23698 | 0 | 23698 | 100.00 |
| 6 | 13786 | 0 | 13786 | 100.00 |
| 7 | 311 | 0 | 311 | 100.00 |
| 7-D | 42 | 0 | 42 | 100.00 |
| 7-F-D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
| 8 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 100.00 |
| 8-D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
| 7-F | 237 | 5 | 242 | 97.93 |
| 6-F | 2947 | 211 | 3158 | 93.32 |
| 6-D | 2977 | 327 | 3304 | 90.10 |
| 5-F | 3278 | 372 | 3650 | 89.81 |
| 5-D | 2831 | 431 | 3262 | 86.79 |
| 4-F | 2863 | 538 | 3401 | 84.18 |
| 4-D | 3429 | 792 | 4221 | 81.24 |
| 3-F | 15431 | 3671 | 19102 | 80.78 |
| 1-F | 3120 | 807 | 3927 | 79.45 |
| 3-D | 190 | 55 | 245 | 77.55 |
| 2-F | 11709 | 3423 | 15132 | 77.38 |
| 5-F-D | 559 | 237 | 796 | 70.23 |
| 6-F-D | 232 | 99 | 331 | 70.09 |
| 4-F-D | 56 | 32 | 88 | 63.64 |
| 3-F-D | 4 | 4 | 8 | 50.00 |
To be honest I am supriced, that ranged units always hit if enemy does not have Flying or Dodge. And have better accuracy than melee overall.