Nadal starts as the favorite against Federer today despite having a losing record against him on grass. They've met three times on grass before, with Federer winning two and Nadal winning one.
I was actually surprised to learn that Nadal's worst surface against Federer was actually indoor hard-court where he's 1-5 against Federer.
Both have been playing well, Nadal only dropping a set against wild-child Kyrgios while Federer has dropped two against Nishikori and against qualifier Lloyd Harris.
Federer's still got the class to beat the weaker players but i think against Djokovic and Nadal, his age is starting to show. If Nadal is able to take this to a fifth set, Federer's going to be gassed.
1.7 odds are good on Nadal and that's what i'll go with today. As long as Nadal isn't intimidated early and retreats to his defensive style, i think he stands a really good chance.
