The Dutch 2nd Division / Reserve league is a high scoring league and one that doesn't matter too much in the scheme of things. I don't think anyone really watches or follows the teams except for punters.
Utrecht are bottom of the table and have only kept a clean sheet 10% of the time. Ajax on the other hand, have only failed to score in 7% of their games. So i think an Ajax goal is almost a given.
The deciding factor is probably whether Utrecht can score a goal. They've failed to score in 31% of matches. If you see their BTTS record, 69% of their games have BTTS so they are the deciding factor rather than their opponents.
At 1.61, there's about 0.15 in value here and i'm going to go with that on a day where there are not much bets to choose from.
| Date | Bet | Stake | Odds | Result | Bookie |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar | Ajax Reserves - FC Utrecht Reserves (BTTS) | 5 | 1.61 | W | B365 |
