Home crowd favorite takes on the clay court specialist Monteiro in what should be a tougher match when they both faced each other in last year's tournament where Monteiro was a convincing winner.
Monteiro is fresh off a win at Braunschweig and I do have concerns that the three days of rest won't be enough for him. Especially since his opponent is playing at home and has really improved in the last year or so.
Ymer's favored surface is clay as well but i think Monteiro is still better on the surface and is the in form player.
So with rankings, form and h2h in favor of Monteiro as well as a 26% difference in how well they clear these odds, i'm going to go in Favor of Monteiro at 1.61.