Again a fantastic week where we made some nice gains. Sadly ethereum did not perform at all.
BTC = 9035.42 -> 9869.45
ETH = 217.57 -> 211.53
Starting Funds: 10000
Strategy I: Full $
10330.40 -> 10334.37
Strategy II: Full BTC
9658.87 -> 10550.45
Strategy III: My Analysis
15461.36 -> 16378.61
Strategy IV: My Analysis including Ethereum
11291.98 -> 10707.75
Again a fantastic week with the gains of my first model almost becoming surreal. The second model does like eth and since it is not doing very well it is not as good but still okay. We keep betting on eth and hope it will eventually catch up.
This week we see the halving. My analysis has identified a bullish anomaly, probably the pre-halving pump and is now super bullish. But there is something that the network does not know. It has no information that the halving is coming and the dynamics may change a lot. Therefore I do not think anyone should follow this weeks predictions since they are most likely overly optimistic. I will still follow them for this test but personally I will take a much less risky position until a few weeks after the halving.
Please note that this is not financial advice. I am just testing some statistical methods and documenting them here. Everyone has their own situation that prefers more or less risk. Everyone has their own goals. Without knowing these there is no way to find the right investment plan for YOU.
My test strategies for the week are:
Strategy I: Full $ @ 0.78% annual interest
Strategy II: Full BTC @ 0.14% annual interest
Strategy III: My Analysis
Long Bitcoin 265.4% @ 0.14% annual interest
Strategy IV: My Analysis including Ethereum
Long ETH 307.7% @ 0.01% annual interest
Short Bitcoin 44.9% @ 3.46% annual interest
Again these would be good if there were no massive event unknown to the analysis. But the halving is coming, potentially featuring a lot of manipulation, so stay safe!
