Everyone needs to invest in these chips, be it Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, Dash. and they need to buy it now, whatever happens. They just have to do it.
This has to do with solid economic principles, this is a silent stage, in which the price of an asset is almost flat, but in which all indicators are slowly aligned for the big bang. resembles the famous "Silence before the storm".
A big jump is coming, it happened here a year ago in Steemit Let me tell you how it was and why I think we are now in a similar stage.
Take a look at these numbers, before you start !!!
If you follow me here you should remember that a few days ago I made a similar publicationin terms of numbers. I already wrote before that STEEM appreciated a lot during the last 365 days. But have patience with me, because this article would be a little different from just numbers.
- Steem increased in fiat from $ 0.24 to $ 2.85, which means an increase of 11x.
- In BTC, it increased from 20,449 satoshis to 35,816 satoshis, which means an appreciation of 57%.
- The volume of operations grew from $ 3 million to $ 21.5 million, an increase of 7 times.
- And, finally, the market capitalization grew from $ 58 million to $ 725 million, 12.5 times.
These are spectacular numbers!
considering that last year we had:
- a management conflict that finally ended amicably
- a smaller user base
- a different reward curve (squared rewards versus linear rewards, starting with HF 19 )
- a different voting mechanism (it did not expire in 2 days, since it was beginning HF 19)
Then, once HF 19came into force, about 11 months ago, the run began
but ... What do we have now?
- Smart Media Tokens ready to be tested
- AppBase in tests (improving scalability)
- We are just before HF 20 (which will validate AppBase)
- A user base probably 5 or 6 times higher than last year
So, once HF 20
(of which I do not know any release date yet) will become operational.
On top of that, that's how the price of the 3-day chart for last year looks for STEEM.
The technical analysis is not working well for crypto, but I thought it worthwhile to put this indicator in the basket too.
As I said, I feel that we are exactly in the same place where we were last year, and all the previous indicators are slowly lining up for a possible rupture. I can be, of course, very, very bad, so that's why I'll kindly ask you to read through the end of this article.
I made 3 scenarios that I want to share with you, one in which we maintain the same speed, one in which we will only have half the growth experienced last year and another in which we will have only one tenth of that growth.
Scenario one: the same growth factor
If the potential run will generate the same relative growth, we will have:
Fiat appreciation: 11x -> $ 2.85 to $ 31.35
- appreciation in Bitcoin: 57% -> 35,816 to 56,231 satoshis
- seven times daily trading volume -> $ 21.5 million to $ 150 million
- growth of market capitalization 12.5 times -> $ 725 million to $ 9 billion
Scenario two: half the growth
If all the previous numbers will be reduced by half:
- appreciation of fiat: 5.5x -> $ 2.85 to $ 15,675
- appreciation in Bitcoin: 28.5% -> 35,816 to 46,023 satoshis
- the volume of daily operations increases 3.5 times -> $ 21.5 million to $ 75.25 million
- market capital growth 6.25 times -> $ 725 million to $ 4.5 billion
Scenario three: only one-tenth of last year's growth grows
And finally, if we had to experience only one tenth of the previous year's growth:
- appreciation of fiat: 1.1x -> $ 2.85 to $ 3,135
- appreciation in Bitcoin: 5.7% -> 35,816 to 37,8573 satoshis
- the volume of daily operations increases 0.7 times -> $ 21.5 million to $ 36.55 million
- market capital growth 1.25 times -> $ 725 million to $ 906 million
Will this really happen?
If there is something about crypto, it is its unpredictable nature, so it is very safe to say that anything can happen.
The fact is that anything can happen, Bitcoin can really explode and drag with all altcoins. Regulators can intervene violently. More countries can ban cryptos.
And even if the general context is favorable, we can expect hardforks, community divisions, new competitors among others. It happened in the Bitcoin community and sooner or later it will also happen in the Steemit community.
Cada uno de estos factores puede afectar negativamente la evoluci贸n del precio.
As铆 que hazte un favor y espera lo peor, pero a煤n as铆 prep谩rate para lo mejor .