10:50 p.m.
I have done some slight revisions of the previous 7-day U.S. forecast that was sent out earlier today. The target locations remain mostly the same, but I have slightly adjusted some magnitudes, and added some information about quakes that have already struck named target locations:
For those who want to be informed, here are the areas in the U.S. to watch for quakes to strike over the next 7 days (probably within 3-5 days). Sometimes the seismic pressure off the coast of California gets “locked” there, and doesn’t move southeast across the plate on the usual 7-day cycle, so there could be a delay of a few days, meaning the alerts may need to be extended if we don’t see evidence of pressure transfer in a few days. This has happened before. Not all of the seismic pressure has been released yet from the Gulf of Alaska, as aftershocks continue to pound the region with some fairly high magnitudes.
The potential magnitudes given below are the highest that I expect to strike in each region (and because I might be wrong, you should prepare for one magnitude higher than what I expect, just to be safe!). People in these areas should be aware, alert, and prepared for earthquakes to strike. These magnitudes are high enough to cause minor to moderate structural damage, injuries, or death in some cases. It’s time to go over your earthquake plan with the kids, know your evacuation routes, and know where your supplies are when an earthquake strikes, because I can assure you, the U.S. is not going to go quiet and not be affected over the next few days. If you have friends or family in these areas, you need to tell them to be alert, aware, and ready for possible earthquakes.
Pacific Northwest: Washington/Oregon dodged the bullet which struck farther south off the coast of the California/Oregon border. We will watch Mount St. Helens and Mount Rainier for possible quakes in the M3.0-3.9 range or eruptive activity. We have seen some steam plumes coming from several dormant volcanoes today in California and Arizona, which was tracked via aerial weather video cameras, meaning that the magma chambers below the volcanoes are being disrupted by the seismic pressure moving across the plate.
California: Swarms will increase statewide, particularly in the central and southern parts of the state, with the next large event likely striking in southern California, along the San Andreas fault system, generally from Los Angeles metro to Salton Sea (inland). We could see a quake potential of M4.9-5.3 strike the region. The San Francisco Bay area should also be on watch for potential quakes in the same magnitude range to strike.
Yellowstone: Expect increased activity in numbers and magnitudes of the swarm, including areas outside the park itself, (Wyoming) including western Montana, and eastern Idaho. Swarms may reach potential high magnitudes of M4.3-5.0. A M4.3 quake struck in southeastern Idaho this evening, between Soda Springs and Sulfur Peak (volcanic areas), fulfilling the forecast for this region, but it isn’t done yet, so hang on to your hat! We haven’t seen this high a magnitude in many months, so it isn’t coincidence, it is exactly what was expected, due to seismic pressure transfer.
Colorado: Expect the southern border with New Mexico, west of Trinidad, as well as other areas of the state to be struck with quakes reaching a potential of M4.3-4.9.
Texas: Western and southern Texas, at the major oil and gas fracking operations, (Snyder, Ft. Stockton, and south of Dallas/Ft. Worth region) should be alerted for potential strikes in the M4.2-4.7 range.
Oklahoma/Kansas: Watch the oil and gas fracking operations along the northern border of Oklahoma/southern Kansas and in north-central Oklahoma to see renewed quake activity with potential quake magnitudes reaching M4.4-5.7.
Kansas: Both north central and south central Kansas should be on alert. Potential areas include Mankato/Smith Center, southwest of Hutchinson, southwest of Wichita, including Anthony and Wellington areas. Magnitudes could reach potentials of M4.2-4.9.
New Madrid seismic zone: Whatever seismic pressure is left over after the quakes reach Oklahoma and Kansas will spill into the New Madrid region of southeastern Missouri, with increased seismic activity about one magnitude less than whatever struck the Oklahoma/Kansas region. This means potential quake magnitudes likely between M3.4-4.4.
Tennessee up through the Appalachians and along the east coast of the U.S. to New York and farther to the north, should expect to be struck by multiple quakes about one magnitude less that what strikes in the New Madrid region. So, we watch for potential M2.8-3.8 quakes.
The North Pole was specifically named in a previous forecast as a target location for the spreading seismic pressure from the M8.0 quake that struck Alaska. Today the region was struck with a M4.4 quake, as expected. The North Pole doesn’t get struck with many earthquakes in a year, so this is further proof of seismic pressure transfer patterns being identified correctly.
I need “boots on the ground,” so if an earthquake strikes near you or family, please send “felt it” reports back to me, noting your location, describing what happened, noting your impressions, and any damage you witnessed. Photos are much appreciated.
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Watch and see!