Not deploying any New Capital as of now

Words
308
Reading
2 min
Listen
Play
2y

The stock market has gone down more than 3.5% in the last 5 days, it has gone down by 3% in last 2 days. So people will be willing to buy the dip as much as they can.

Screenshot_20240806_192200_Google.jpg
PC: Google.com

First we have to see why the market has gone down in teh first place. There are many theories like US might be in recession, or there is a tension in middle east or even it might be because the Japan has increased it's interest rate. Now any of these can contribute to the fall in market, but mostly I feel it is because of the Japan's increased interest rate.

Why I feel this because, see Japan has 0% interest from a long long time. And that's why people take advantage of it and invest in Stock market outside of Japan mainly US. Now when the Japan Bank has increased the interest rate, the people who has taken the loan at 0% interest, they now have to pay .25% extra.

Screenshot_20240806_192830_Google.jpg
PC: Google.com

And not only that, if you see the Dollar vs Japan Yen, you can see in few days it has gone down from 160 level to 140 level. And thus whoever has taken the loan in Yen,and invested in USD are liquidating their position so that they can recover some part of it and don't have to pay any interest rate. And along with this since the recession threat is looming people are actually trying to keep the cash in hand and that's why people are selling it and keeping the cash in hand.

So in my case also I am not deploying any New capital, I am just waiting and watching and keeping more cash in hand. When the market volatility decreases I will buy more with the money I have.

Not deploying any New Capital as of now | Ecency