It is a popular saying that “One day in the virtual currency market, one year in stock market”. In another word, one could make as much money in a day as other could earn in the stock market for a year. This may sound a little exaggerated. But in the virtual currency circle, anyone could tell that it is the truth. On the contrary, especially during the recent two years, the stock market is bearish since 2016. It is quite possible that money someone earned from the stock market for a year is much less than that earned from the virtual currency market in only half a day.
At the very beginning, the blockchain is known by the few people. After years of development, it has become popular among a small number of people (mainly those in the computer industry and or other related industries). More and more people get to know this trend as time goes on. The market will be truly mature, or saturated until most people get familiar with it. I think 2018 should be a crucial year for the overall blockchain market to outbreak to its fullest.
I have noticed that each virtual currency is up or down, but in the long run, the basic prices of most virtual currencies are rising. Let’s take bitcoin as an example. Believe it or not, it is raised from 8,000 in early 2017 to more than 20,000 RMB in September, 2017. After experiencing the great decrease to 17,000 RMB at the end of September, 2017. It continued to rise again and once reached 130,000 RMB. Now it is hovering around 100,000 RMB.
As I mentioned in my previous posts, many people or organizations are discouraged to buy the bitcoins due to its expensive transaction fees and extremely slow transaction speed. From my point of view, the bitcoin is not suitable for currency trading, though some national banks on our plane, claim that they support bitcoin for cash transactions, and even in some countries, people could easily get cash out of bitcoin from ATMs at the street.
In the blockchain market, a great variety of virtual currencies are released in 2017. It it a year like a lot of flowers blooming and a hundred schools of thought contend. It is kind of dazzling for those who just knew the blockchain area as various kinds of industries started to launch their own blockchain applications and virtual currency (tokens). Almost all of them emphasize that they are unique and innovative in the blockchain industry. But according to my research and observation, some of them are encouraging everyone to buy their own tokens by selling horse meat as beefsteak. It is crazy to see the speculation by some companies, especially those who have not even set up a formal application.
However, I have a complicated feeling for those who only focus on doing real things, but do not pay attention to promote their own team. Everyone likes the struggling team with practical work. But it is annoying that their attitude is too pragmatic, and sometimes inevitably too overconfident. It lacks a long-term publicity planning and marketing strategy for those who concentrate on doing things, but forget to promote themselves.
For investors, especially the majority of retail investors, they are more concerned about is the price changes of each token. Indeed, there is nothing more exciting and nothing deserved more attention than this. Although we all understand that there would be the highest peak that every token could reach, even bitcoin. And the real problem is that no one truly knows, what price exactly could be considered a real peak.
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Translator: 
最近币圈都流行这么一句话：币市一天，股市一年。大意是在币市一天赚到的钱，可能就抵得上在股市里一年赚的钱了。这话听起来似乎有点夸张，但从16年到现在以来，凡是在币圈里经手过区块链币的都会明白，这话 一点也不夸张，相反，尤其是在这两年国内A股非常不景气的熊市下，很可能是币圈半天，股市就得一年(有可能还 不够)。
区块链经过这几年的发展，已经开始由最初的极少数人知晓，到现在已有少部分人(主要是计算机行业和早期多接触计算机相关行业的人)开始了解并参与，而且这个趋势随着时间的发展，会增加的越来越明显，直到外围更多人都陆续知晓，这个市场才算真正的成熟(饱和)。我认为2018应是整个区块链市场整体全面爆发的关键一年。
我留意过多个区块链虚拟币，每个虚拟币都有涨有跌，但从长期来看，基本都是有上涨的，只是不同币之间涨多涨少的问题罢了。这点比特币就是一个很好的例子。无论你愿不愿意相信 ，它还是一路从17年下半年的几千块人民币到9月份的2万多人民币，在经历了9月底那次大滑落到1.7万后，又重新继续回涨，一度涨到13万人民币，近期徘徊在10万人民币左右 。
正如同先前我在其它文章中讲过，因为比特币昂贵的交易手续费，以及非常缓慢的交易速度，必然会让更多人或组织望而却步，所以我认为比特币是不适合于用来进行货币交易的，即便是在这个星球上有多个国家的银行都宣称自己支持比特币和现金交易，甚至在一些国家街头的ATM机器上你可以很方便地用比特币取到现金。
2017年的区块链市场，各种虚拟币层出不穷，大有一种百花争艳、百家争鸣的感觉，一时间让人包括开始就接触这个行业的人不由得眼花缭乱，各种行业，各种产业都开始陆续推出了自己的区块链应用和虚拟币(代币)，几乎每家在宣传时都会强调自己是独一无二的，行业创新的，但据我研究和观察，这其中不乏一些挂羊头卖狗肉，归根结底还是在鼓励大家购买他们自己的代币，尤其是那些连个正式应用都没有就已经开始被炒作上了天，就差飞了，实在匪夷所思，让人不由直呼看不懂。
但是，对于那些只顾埋头做事，却不注意抬头宣传自己的团队，却是让人又爱又恨。踏踏实实做事的团队，谁又会不喜爱呢？但令人恼恨的是，正是太务实，有时候不免就也太过自信，只顾埋头做事，却忘记宣传自己，或者宣传的力度太不够 ，说到底，还是缺乏一套较为长远的宣传规划和营销策略。
对于投资人尤其是广大散户来说，多数人很多时候关注的即是代币的涨跌幅，没有什么比这个更令人兴奋和关注了，虽然我们都明白，即使是比特币，相信也有其上涨最高顶的时候，但问题是，谁都不知道 ，比特币究竟要涨到什么价位，才算是真的巅峰。
照片拍摄于陕北 ● 延长油田附近
