If you wanna see how we nailed a potential bottom at $8,367, check out my previous analysis on Bitcoin here:
https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@benkalashnikov/3bnsbo-bitcoin-btc-analysis-update
Moving forward, there are indications pointing that we've hit the "bottom" for now, at around $8,300 and that we've started a new set of impulse waves. The big inverted head & shoulders pattern have completed (or almost) and we can expect a bull run now given that we don't lose too much volume and momentum.
We can extrapolate a new price target by measuring the depth of the pattern from the neckline to the bottom (or top) of the head Then simply take the measure stick and place it on top of the neckline. That will give us a price target at $11,580.
A coincidence? No, there's a lot of resistance there so I wouldn't be surprised if we correct after hitting this target. My strategy is to take profits (sell some of my BTC) a little before these resistance zones. That way I can make sure to not get punished if price drops again. Also, If I see that we pass the resistance with volume and decisivness I can buy back some with the confidence that the previous resistance zone probably will act as a future support zone. Does that make sense? Please comment if you want me to elaborate more on this.
This is how the subwaves could look like to fit in this new head & shoulders pattern forming:
🤑 Mid term target: $17,116
Keep in mind that this is just a projection based on the current data we have right now. This analysis could (and will) probably change as we get closer. The new Elliot Wave count is based on the height of the current 1st impulse wave along with other guidelines from the Elliot Waves Principles.
Out of curiosity, I placed a Fibonacci retracement diagram based on the previous correction wave (A). And it's amazing to see how well it fits into my count. Watch how all dips and highs sits perfectly at each level.
I know many of you Elliottitians will claim that my grand ABC count is too big and perhaps too long but I will not focus too much on time perspectives at this moment. My main focus is to set the targets right and I believe that everything else will fall into place as we move forward. If we reach new all time highs above $20,000 then I would invalidate the ABC and probably predict that we're in the 5th and final wave at a grand perspective.
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Disclaimer:
I'm not a financial advisor and these are only my opinions. I don't take any responsibility for any investments that you make based on my analysis.
