Isn't the blow-off top supposed to happen a few good months after the halving?

I guess we'll have to see about that. I am pretty sure though that BTC hasn't experienced much buying pressure coming from retail yet. They will be there once it breaks $100,000 and they will FOMO "just because it's going to $1 million". Or they'll simply ignore it and buy DOGE because it's Elon Musk's favorite cryptocurrency.

Personally, I believe something like $60,000 is highly achievable for BTC pre-halving and way over $100,000 as a top for the bull market. A top that might occur this year.