Long Term Unemployment | Sign that we are approaching the end of the bull market

Longterm Unemplyoment rate is heading towards 10 year low, symbolizing that we are targeting the end of the Bull market, starting a recessive market sometime soon. The question is, what black swan even will trigger the start of the recessive cycle?

(Source : http://www.multpl.com/us-long-term-unemployment-rate)

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