The Raw Numbers
As you can see, the odds on Manchester City and Liverpool to win are rather shitty and you should probably avoid the 1x2 market there. If my model is correct this time, the value is in backing Tottenham +1.5 and Cardiff +2. But, that's the call you have to make.
The only interesting call this time around is West Ham to win @3.21. It's the only game in which my model goes against the market.
As usual, all the picks are being tracked on blitzpredict (my profile). Good luck!