Why is it when prices go up 10 fold in a short period of time, most newer players in the markets simply don't find that strange or odd. Instead their reaction seems more like:
Yet when it tanks 75% a month later, they're in shock, and bag-holding devastating losses.
If they loved it so much then, maybe that's the time to start buying up a bunch?! Of course, that's if they had even bothered to learn anything about what they're buying in the first place, let alone how it could be properly "valued", if at all. And for the record, "Price keeps going up, so buy buy buy!" doesn't cut it...
(all aboard the HODL train...!)
Focus foremost on managing risk, and the rewards will come
Everyone's heard the term "don't invest more than you can afford to lose". But that only seems to apply to the other guy, especially when prices keep going straight up. Investments can't do that unless they're real, right?! All paths in life move in a straight line, there are no cycles. Everything goes up in a straight moon shot, never to return!
And using the term "investment" for most things, certainly in crypto-land, is an oxymoron in itself. These are all speculations, especially when people are risking way more than they can afford to lose. The problem is that everyone starts focus on the "potential rewards", without a second thought to any of the potential risks and uncertainties. And for any trader worth their salt, that's the most important part.
Focus on managing the risks, and the rewards will, over time, start to materialize. Do the reverse, you might get lucky once or twice or even three times, most likely to your own detriment, as you then go ahead and leverage your home to cash it in next month for a mansion! (btw, hope you'll also make enough to cover the expenses on that monstrosity as well!) But, why worry about keeping a manageable "nut" (ie. risk management), when we can just rake in some more of those crypto millionaros! 😎
As I often tell people, to me pricing is generally arbitrary and illusory, and subject to people's whims and confidences. And what many still don't quite understand is that even assets considered to be the safest of investments (upon which a rough ROI can actually be determined) can also go down 90% in value. If that's the case, don't think for a second that can't happen with your "shitcoin du jour".
Don't think your house or your even your government bonds can lose 90% of their value? Time to brush up and study a bit more history...
Why people even buy government debt is unexplained, for lawyers take control of government and pass laws that elevate government to “quality status” when in fact it is unsecured and has typically resulted in the total destruction of capital formation. When the core economy is involved, such as Rome, the resulting episode is typically a Dark Age.
Link: Greece 2017: Sovereign Debt Cycle
Anyway, just remember it's not a loss until you sell.... or until you run out of money to pay off your mortgage! lol
Yet... BitConnect... 😱
Yet, some idiot will go on and bankrupt his family by "investing" $500,000 into BitConnect, which has countless posts on STEEMIT alone calling it out for the scammy ponzi scheme it was. However, somehow all these people are now devastated. How can there be no recourse, they ask?! The government's gotta go after these people and help us!
- https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@jenny143/bitconnect-scam-with-proof
- https://steemit.com/scam/@thegrinder/the-bitconnect-scam-exposed
- https://steemit.com/bitconnect/@fraserb/bitconnect-scam
Here's a great video by @dougpolkcrypto, which includes a "post-mortem", and who also warned of the BitConnect ponzi scheme: "The BitConnect scam is DEAD. What happens next?". His earlier posts calling out BitConnect were also downvoted by BitConnect groupies "investors" for calling it out for the scam it was. Here's the video:
("I don't want to believe the world is so corrupt." <--- really??! then why are you into crypto in the first place! Just go back to "trusting" your friendly local government!)
Link: Bitconnect bagholders having their savings evaporate before their eyes.
Crypto tips.... pleeeeeeeeease?! 😁
I can't tell you how many people I've tried talking sense into in the past few months alone, both directly and through some of my recent posts. But truth be told, few people rarely take the time to really listen and learn, despite them asking for your "advice". People will do what they want to do, and they'll believe what they want to believe. And they'll go to untold lengths to convince themselves of their "delusion", literally sounding drunk in the process... lol
For example, upon recently ripping apart a bunch of crapcoins presented to me, I was greeted by this response:
MISTer DOOM and GLooM COIN
I want to hear something positive from you... for once......
If you are negative all the time you will Attract that... Just sayin!
I responded:
your naivity is so cute lol
that's also what people called me when they asked me if they should invest money with Madoff. Hmmm. haven't heard from any of them lately, maybe I should reach out to some of them and see how things are going.
More recently, after the crypto world's slight return to reality, I wrote the following...
wow, didn't think all my negativity could do that...! 😮
oddly, however, I am now starting to feel a bit more positive! 😂
Even more odd is that they'll ask for "tips". If you have to ask for a tip, GTFO and save your money. If you're really so anxious to lose it all, how about you just send me half of it, let me take you out back and kick you in the ass, and let's call it a day. That way we'll both come out ahead! 😃
As I wrote in another post a while back regarding stock and crypto tips:
"I'll point people towards what I find "interesting", but I've learned long ago that "stock tips" almost never end well. It's up to each of us to "pick our poison". And I'll guarantee you that if I told people I'm "loading the boat on STEEM" while it's at 10 cents (based on my risk criteria and time horizon), there will be some bozo who will come back hating me later, crying how my "advice" got them 100% long STEEM at $3 bucks for a short-term trade, and now they're sitting on a 60% long-term capital loss."
Stop relying on others, and study the markets!
Here's one tip, however, that I will repeat to no end. If you do want to learn more about the markets, start by reading "Reminiscences Of A Stock Operator". Even discussing markets from over 100 years ago, the knowledge is still as prescient today as it was then. I've read or listened to it over a dozen times, and I find something interesting that resonates for me each time, as my own experience accumulates over the years. For those who are relatively new at trading, if you haven't yet read it, perhaps you'll find it insightful for yourselves as well.
Link: Reminiscences Of A Stock Operator (PDF)
Link: Reminiscences Of A Stock Operator (AudioBook version on Spotify!)
Sadly, however, I can also say that for all those who've asked me for "tips", I can probably count on one hand those who've actually taken my advice and gone ahead to read this book. 🙄
There's also been a number of posts that I've authored right here on STEEMIT that can also help you gain more insight into how the markets work. Here's another one you just might want to take the time to read, where I also talked about how I missed buying more STEEM at around 7 cents, while others were panicking out: "Seizing Trading Opportunities through Market Panics and Capitulation".
Do I still have your attention...? Then stay tuned for Part 2! 😀 And boy do I have a few more "tips" for you. But be warned, they'll be more of the following nature:
Give a Man a Fish, and You Feed Him for a Day.
Teach a Man To Fish, and You Feed Him for a Lifetime.
If that sounds too boring for some of you, feel free to step right along. There are plenty of shysters out there ready and waiting to pump & dump you out of all your hard-earned crypto (the bunch of "lovely souls" pumping BitConnect on STEEMIT come to mind). However, if you made it this far into my post, you just may be one of the few that makes me feel it was worth my time to write this up, and Part 2 as well! 😀