The Lancet has published a study of the feasibility of containing this pandemic.

"Simulated outbreaks starting with five initial cases, an R0 of 1·5, and 0% transmission before symptom onset could be controlled even with low contact tracing probability; however, the probability of controlling an outbreak decreased with the number of initial cases, when R0 was 2·5 or 3·5 and with more transmission before symptom onset. Across different initial numbers of cases, the majority of scenarios with an R0 of 1·5 were controllable with less than 50% of contacts successfully traced. To control the majority of outbreaks, for R0 of 2·5 more than 70% of contacts had to be traced, and for an R0 of 3·5 more than 90% of contacts had to be traced. The delay between symptom onset and isolation had the largest role in determining whether an outbreak was controllable when R0 was 1·5. For R0 values of 2·5 or 3·5, if there were 40 initial cases, contact tracing and isolation were only potentially feasible when less than 1% of transmission occurred before symptom onset."

https://www.thelancet.com/action/showPdf?pii=S2214-109X%2820%2930074-7

The longer the asymptomatic transmission, the more difficult it is to do contact tracing, and the more likely the pandemic is to be impossible to stop. Worse, the actual estimated R0 of between 4 and 7 dramatically reduces the ability of the spread to be stopped.

We need to act ourselves, rather than rely on government to save us. They can't contact trace this epidemic. We need to wipe down public surfaces like pens, doorknobs, counters, shopping cart handles, and stop shaking hands, kissing, and hugging in greeting. No more public gatherings. We can stop this, but the government can't.

Sadly, lying and downplaying the danger of anything only causes panic when the actual facts are finally understood, because people suddenly realize they are in danger, and haven't properly prepared. This is why I so greatly appreciate that you only speak the truth as you understand it.

Thanks!