Greeting all friends,
The world right now feels like a roller coaster. Some say this might be the beginning of World War 3, and some suggest it is already happening without us realizing it. But the recent attacks have given a clear message to all of us that something serious is happening right now.
Because of all kinds of conflicts — from real military weapons to economic wars and political tensions — I can’t fully rely on the technical analysis methods that I used to learn previously.
In 2026, I decided to focus more on learning fundamental analysis of the market because I feel that these factors are now leading market indicators, especially economic news, compared to technical analysis alone.
Well, technical analysis is still working well on many pairs, but knowing the market bias from the news helps me sleep better at night.
Everyone is talking about it. Even my 70-year-old neighbor is watching the news and discussing it during their tea gossip sessions. Here are some highlights that you might already know:
1.) Middle East: The Iran–Israel–US conflict
2.) Possible closure of the Strait of Hormuz
1.) Safe-haven gold is still moving in a bullish direction, and the DXY (US Dollar Index) is also rising because of the war. This is quite different from what many traders usually expect regarding the relationship between DXY and gold.
2.) Oil prices are reaching all-time highs because the Strait of Hormuz — one of the main global oil shipping routes — is at risk of being closed.
At the moment, I am trading XAUUSD because the price movement is extremely dramatic and sometimes unpredictable. I am also watching other pairs for opportunities, and one of my favorites is GU.
I feel that trading GU becomes much easier when I start to understand the connection between different market sessions. Usually during the Asian session, the market tends to move sideways because it is night time in New York and London. It is quite rare to see a strong trend during this session, especially on Monday and Friday.
Just like yesterday’s market:
The real move start move at 10 pm , where the market move outside the ASEAN range . Oppurtunity come when the prrice come back to the range and grabing the order before bullish move afterwards.
Im closeing my order and taking profit until previous swing high before the market open during asean open in monday. It's a good a good green pips .
This is current market at 3.11 pm at my place , currently it continue making bullish movement after bullish movement yesterday . As the DXY safe-haven start to slow down , GU start making bullish movement after rally bearish last week due to bowish market sentiment for GBP.
Today , im waiting for closing price at M15 at london open to make my early decision. If it is Judas swing , i ll enter sell if the price with TP at ASEAN swing low price today. Otherwise , im waiting another bullish comfirmation for this few hours.
This is for today , lets spread love not war. May God bless you .
