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7y
You bring up a lot of the problems that exist today. It is hard to imagine how changes to the economic model will play out in practice. If there is no change in behavior, then yes - things could get worse. The hard part to quantity though is what might happen if the right incentives structure caused the entire dynamics of the community to shift.
RE: Hardfork 21 - Steem Proposal System (SPS) + Economic Improvement Proposal (EIP)