RE: RE: Food: Dropping As A Share Of Disposable Income
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RE: Food: Dropping As A Share Of Disposable Income

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5y

While the population growth has slowed slightly there is no statistic I have seen that shows it "going down" at any point.

There might be no statistic that it is going down at this point, there is clear evidence that we are seeing where it is going.

Here is the math:

  • Fertility rate in China: 1.6 admitted by the CCP (believed to be closer to 1.0 by demographers who study it)

  • Child bearing age women outnumber men in that age bracket by 30%. So while the fertility rate is one thing, the number of women who can get pregnant is way down. China is the world most populous country and many believe they are already starting their population decline.

  • India, the second most populated country, latest fertility rate 1.9, below replacement level.

  • The developed world fertility rate: 1.7

  • Sub-sahara Africa fertility rate dropped 50% in the last 25 years, from 10 to 5.

So while there is no drop as of yet, it is so 1970s to believe in the overpopulation mantra. The evidence (and math) is clear that child births are dropping like a rock. We know that as economies move away from agrarian, there are less births. There is also decades of evidence that when urbanization takes place, kids are more expensive, hence couple reduce the number.

Thus, even though there might be a migration in the developed world from urban to rural to some degree, the reality is the highest birth areas are going to enter their urbanization process just like we saw in China. This will result in their fertility rates coming down even more.

So once again, while one could make the case of overpopulation in 2010, as of 2020 it is a far-fetched theory.

Even research funded by Gates, a known over-populationist (and some say eugenicist) says the peak will be in the 2060s. This was done last year.

Do not be surprised that if we see research in 10 years that pull this forward into the 2050s and an expected peak that is lower than the 9.7 billion projected in this report.

@taskmaster4450le: While the population | Ecency