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5y
I feel that, over the long term, say 50 years, we are going to see the demise of the nation-state. This will take a lot of the institutions you mentioned out. We are moving towards a world of networked economies which the physical entities are not equipped to deal with.
That is the long term. How things will unfold over the next couple decades? I think that is going to see a push for more control as they hang on. They are going to push a UBI to try to remain relevant but it will not work.
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