Thanks for the input.
I do not believe Ethereum will be dead in 5 years. Yes they are having problems right now, no doubt about it. Of course, EOS is having issues too and there is a sector of the industry that wants to write them off too.
While I hold our developers in the highest esteem, let us not pretend that Ethereum doesnt have some very smart cookies themselves. To start, the last report I saw was they had, by a wide margin, the most developers of any chain (according to research of Github activity). The conversion to POS is not easy but I feel they will eventually get there. It might be a couple more years but that will help to alleviate their scaling issues.
Certainly Hive as enormous scaling potential compared to a lot of what is out there. It is interesting that this could be improved with the hard fork coming up as the devs stack the data in a more efficient manner. That said, let us not pretend that Hive devs have secrets that Ethereum is oblivious to.
I am not sure what is so pessimistic about saying there will be other blockchains that will be bigger than hive in terms of number of users especially considering, like your post mentioned, first mover advantage. Ethereum, for one, has that in the "virtual computer" world. EOS was suppose to be the Ethereum killer and, thus far, it has not come into being. Maybe it will come to pass which means that ETH will drop down. Even a Cardano or something else could fit into that realm. However, none of the degrades what is going on with Hive.
Hive was never designed to take on all that those blockchains will. There will continue to be development bringing out more opportunities for users to enjoy. Of course, most will simply come in for a game or two and that is the extent of their interaction. Of course, we want those.
However, when you look at the core, which is now perhaps a few thousand (out of the 10K who visit regularly), that will grow in time. Having a million or two as a core is, in my opinion, pretty powerful stuff. Those are the one who I would foresee leveraging Hive to max advantage.
RE: The Future Of Hive: Monaco