I think people are being hoodwinked by the masses here and the whole objective to Ukraine, it's corruption, and it's tendency to be interfered with by oligarch's is part of why it's been torn apart by war. Much like Gaza, it's a restructuring format because it costed world governments and international banking system billions of dollars a year. It, much like Italy that got hit hardest by covid that magically jumped straight from China into Italy, already had reached four retirees for every two workers. Basically there was no coming back from that. Ukraine was a financially stranglehold on world economies, couple that with the oligarch's running off with the money, serious changes had to happen. As Jared Kushner said, "historically boundaries change over the course of history", and that's the total sum of what I think people are going to see here. Especially after having read this today:
The hyper-industrialised Donbas economy is dominated by coal mining and metallurgy. The region has one of the largest coal reserves in Ukraine. When conflict broke out in 2014, Ukraine’s coal-mining enterprises saw a 22.4 per cent decline in the production of raw coal compared with 2013, according to the Kyiv Post, showing the country’s reliance on Donbas as an energy powerhouse.
But as well as its economic significance, Donbas has been described as a “fortress belt” by the Institute for the Study of War in terms of its strategic value. Donetsk forms the main fortified defensive line across the front line, stretching through Sloviansk, Kramatorsk, Druzhkivka, and Kostiantynivka.
“Ukraine is holding a key defensive line across Donetsk,” says Elina Beketova, a fellow at the Centre for European Policy Analysis, describing a “fortified zone buildup over years because the war began 11 years ago”. She adds that Russia hasn’t been able to break through since 2014, and has lost many people there. The entire region is heavily mined, and Ukrainian troops have been preparing it for years.
“It’s not just trenches, it’s a deep, layered defence with bunkers, anti-tank ditches, minefields, and industrial areas built into the terrain. The area includes dominant heights, rivers, and urban zones that make it extremely hard to capture,” explains Beketova.
She says that losing this fortified line would have “catastrophic consequences” for Ukraine, as it holds back Russia’s advancement into central and western parts of the country. “The front would shift approximately 80km west, and Russia would gain open ground – flat steppe with no natural barriers – giving it a direct path towards Kharkiv, Poltava, and Dnipro.”
When you read about the fortified area, that will probably become the new border area. It doesn't have to be a precise cut formed along current borders, but this is a great selling point for that "new US security guarantees", packaged and sold as a guarantee that Russia can't penetrate it. But the fine line to the story is, is that Ukraine, in 2019, was already slanted to get out of the coal industry:
Ukraine is experiencing an economic transformation which is being impeded
by challenges like high energy intensity and dependence on imports. For this
reason, German-Ukrainian energy cooperation in 2019 focused on intensifying
the dialogue on renewable energy, integration into the grid, heat and energy
efficiency.
In view of the in-depth cooperation, Germany and Ukraine have prepared the
conclusion of an Energy Partnership, which is to be signed in 2020. This will place
cooperation on energy with Ukraine on a stronger institutional basis. In addition
to the improvement of the energy performance of existing buildings, key reforms
in Ukraine include the liberalisation of the electricity market and the phase-out
of coal. The related questions like integration into the grid and the funding of
renewable energy formed a focus for the expert dialogue at several bilateral
events.
https://www.bundeswirtschaftsministerium.de/Redaktion/EN/Publikationen/Energie/annualreport-energy-partnerships-2019.pdf?__blob=publicationFile&v=3
And that transformation is the new 17 billion dollar honey pot, as, if my guess is right, you may see part of Zaporizhzhia split, I say that because Kirovograd, or Kirovoghad, sits in the Zaporizhzhia region, where DuPont, Chemours, Prcheza, and Tracy's have a revolutionary technology plant that reduces the cost of processing titanium four fold. It's a zero waste concept of green titanium. It's headquartered in Dnipro, Ukraine and production is in Korobchine Village, Kirovograd Ukraine. It was built in record breaking time back in 2011. So back in 2011 when they told everyone that the above mentioned companies were in Donbas looking for or drilling for oil, that wasn't the truth. There actually isn't enough oil in Donbas to worry about. Russia, for the most part, played into the game because they were guaranteed the rebuilding of infrastructure to green energy standards, starting with Lukhovitsy in the Moscow Oblast and Nftekamsk in the republic of Bashkortostan, but reports have them already rebuilding in occupied territories with German companies.
In the field of energy-efficient buildings, cooperation was extended to include the
improvement of the energy performance of existing buildings. In a first step, three
regions were identified for this; these aim to deploy energy efficiency solutions for
the first time in the context of existing retrofitting programmes in the coming years.
An energy management and climate action management system offered by dena
will help Russian towns and cities to identify their potential for energy efficiency and
to develop appropriate measures. Out of more than a hundred municipalities in
forty Russian regions, the municipalities of Lukhovitsy (Moscow Oblast) and Neftekamsk (Republic of Bashkortostan) have qualified as pilot areas for the implementation of the dena management system.
https://wwwp-lives.blogspot.com/2024/04/german-firms-help-rebuild-russian.html
Well they gave two out of the three mentioned, Mariupol could have been the third, who knows, they lie so much. Just as with Ukraine, it basically had to be destroyed, the housing structures were old, and the ownerships of who owned them was complicated.
Retrofitting the Ukrainian building stock to make it more
energy-efficient is a highly complex undertaking. This
is partly because many of the apartments in Soviet-era
tower blocks were sold to individuals, often resulting in
heterogeneous ownership structures. The partners to
the German-Ukrainian Energy Cooperation are to launch
a pilot project showing how these challenges can be
mastered. As part of this project, 20 Ukrainian multiresidential buildings are to undergo extensive renovation
to make them more energy-efficient. The work will involve providing information to residents and home-owners
and persuading them to accept the improvements.
https://www.bundeswirtschaftsministerium.de/Redaktion/EN/Publikationen/Energie/annualreport-energy-partnerships-2018.pdf?__blob=publicationFile&v=2
That's my take on the situation, it's all been orchestrated, because, as Obama puts it, nothing gets done unless the US sets the agenda. You can't reform Ukraine from prior to how it was structured, like Kushner said about the investment of fifty billion into Gaza from SA, that no one is going to invest good money after bad, as why SA set the conditional term that Hamas, and their tunnels, would have to go. The same with have to happen in Ukraine, the rule of or by oligarch's would have to change. My money is on the announcement that this area will be announced as like a militarized zone, much like you see with north and south korea:
“Ukraine is holding a key defensive line across Donetsk,” says Elina Beketova, a fellow at the Centre for European Policy Analysis, describing a “fortified zone buildup over years because the war began 11 years ago”. She adds that Russia hasn’t been able to break through since 2014, and has lost many people there. The entire region is heavily mined, and Ukrainian troops have been preparing it for years.
“It’s not just trenches, it’s a deep, layered defence with bunkers, anti-tank ditches, minefields, and industrial areas built into the terrain. The area includes dominant heights, rivers, and urban zones that make it extremely hard to capture,” explains Beketova.
The way they describe it is much like they've been out there planning for this moment all along, so don't be surprised if it's in the works, Trump announces US security guarantees, gets his 50% of Ukraine mineral profits and walks off with a noble peace prize for being the not so peace keeper. Can anyone really wrap their heads around a US president getting a peace prize for setting off genocides across the globe. More like his trophy award for getting away with it.
RE: THE WAR: Russia’s quiet victory [eng/срп] РАТ: Тиха руска победа