Here's a quick update on the predictions.
- Crystal Palace 0-1 Southampton
Huddersfield Town1-1 Leicester CityLiverpool1-1 Burnley- Newcastle United 2-1 Stoke City
Tottenham Hotspur0-0 Swansea City- Watford 0-6 Manchester City
West Bromwich Albion0-0 West Ham
3 out of 7 correct - the rest were draws. That's 42.86% - is there something wrong with the code?
Lets have a look at the stats for our misses.
Huddersfield v Leicester - Huddersfield appear to have been the stronger team - the site shows 57% possession and 4-0 in "shots on target" (I assume this precludes the goals scored for each team).
Liverpool v Burnley - Liverpool stronger team - 67% possession, 11-3 shots on target.
Spurs v Swansea - Spurs stronger team - 68% possession, 8-0 shots on target.
West Brom v West Ham - This is less clear cut, with West Ham looking stronger - West Brom had only 37% possession but still managed to lead 2-1 in the shots on target stat.
Looks like we're going in the right direction so far but we have a lot to do - perhaps it would be worthwhile using a "double chance"/"home or draw" bet that although lowering our potential return on a correct prediction, would make a return much more likely. Also worth looking at would be laying our predicted loser? Advice from any professional gamblers would be most welcome here....
I've created a github page for the code which you can access here - https://github.com/steviecurrie/soccer-prediction. You'll find the code we've used so far and it's the first place any updates will appear.
I'll be back soon with part 3 in which I hope to have some updated code and some more predictions. As always, feel free to pipe in with any suggestions advice etc.
Have another day.
Steven