Currently both are equally possible
https://ibb.co/eCdf4S
https://ibb.co/mJZsJn
For certainty we need a daily close either above $9923 or below $8943 (Bitfinex pricing) to continue to respective volatility implied targets.
https://www.mql5.com/en/charts/8653155/btcusd-d1-jafx-ltd
