The return on payout here is around 10-20% (varies as HBD price fluctuates). Ignoring compounding that's 500-1000% per year. If typical content on the trending page were doing that for the past 5 years, HIVE wouldn't be worth 40 cents, it would be worth 40 thousand dollars (made up number, but you get the idea). So, no, I think that is a very hard case to make on the numbers. Do people see content they like on the Trending page and become motivated to buy HIVE? Probably, but not to a degree that makes those Trending payouts a high (or at least, anywhere near as high of a) return overall.
RE: Upvote this post to fund @hbdstabilizer