I mostly agree with you about SPT, unless they do add additional functionality to it, via adding a mining function to the Splinterlands NFTs that can be purchased with SPT. Hell, once SPS governance rolls out we can implement a DEC bonus or something for holding official NFTs.
I'm also under the impression the 3spk snapshot will be ongoing, so a lot of hive is likely locked up now..., if that's the case.
RE: RentMoney's Hive Price Prediction