In that Trump seems really scared, I think the electorate is moving away from him. Vance in particular is alienating women. But I think the Medal of Honor thing might prove to be the straw that breaks the camel’s back. How does any veteran or active duty military tolerate that?

That said, our Electoral College system makes national polls not all that reliable. It’s going to come down to a handful of key states and maybe just a few hundred thousand voters in those states.