Only 3 games today is quite brutal. Pitchers making debuts are extremely tough to model and usually with 10-15 games happening, there will be enough games/players to choose from a wagering perspective. Not today.
The crackdown on pitchers using substances is going to be very interesting to watch. Almost requires a look at pitchers with past performances over the past few seasons and examining their Pitch F/X metrics. If something looks amiss, it may provide an opportunity to fade those pitchers.
Gerrit Cole is the #1 suspect when it comes to substances. The vertical movement on all his pitches was a bit off from his usual vertical movement during the season in his last start against the Rays. His fastball and changeup horizontal movement also deviated from his average.
This change in substance rules may provide a short-term value as markets may not have adjusted.
RE: Where Is MLB Starting Pitching Finding Points?