For now.. Back to the drawing board, I'll probably make ocasional football tip post related to bets, but im switching direction.
I was betting on games with a goal diference(of past 6 games) between two teams, equal or higher than 6, on the over 2.5 goals market.
I tested it against the 2016/2017 Premier League with a result of 89/165, around 54% (not holygraal material yet). Longest losing streak 8 games.
Calculated the the possible profits with the odds(bet365) aswell, 46% return on the initial bank. Hey pretty good. Just needed to feed games(alot of games per week) to this strategy and raise/lower the stakes according to the bank.
I also used this system for another 23 games(random leagues) with a result of 12/23. I Can't find the odds that I want for this, at least not for every entry the system gives me(ended up betting o2.5 on games I shouldn't), and it's not going the way the first 10 games demonstrated so Im disapointed.
Conclusion
This system is good to predict over2.5 goals, and 1X2 aswell if you add some home advantage points(diferent for every league) to the home team. I also noticed it works best in the early part of the league. If bet365 ever comes back to my country, I'll pull this one out of the drawer for sure.
Expect more football posts from me, also other stuff.