Continuing on my previous post about predicting Draws in football, this set of posts will look at two teams that tend to Draw when they play against one another. No further filtering was done.
I'll do this for 30 matches and see what we get. Need a 1/3 strike rate to be profitable. This post is for data collection purposes but hopefully it will turn into something useful..
| Match | Prediction | Odds | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude vs Guarani | Draw | 2.9 | L |
| Odder vs Naesby | Draw | 3.6 | L |
| El Nacional vs Dep Cuenca | Draw | 3.6 | L |
| KTP vs Valkeak Haka | Draw | 3.3 | W |
| Shamrock vs Dundalk | Draw | 3.5 | L |
| Zwiegen Kanazawa vs Kyoto Sanga | Draw | 3.1 | L |
So after round 1, only 1 out of 6 matches ended up in a Draw. There were three other close ones but there's no prize for being close.
Return from round 1 is -2.7 units.
