I'm going to be collecting more data on using bookie odds as the basis for my model. Truth be told, i'm expecting some mean reversion in this round so let's see how we do over 30 matches. The criteria has remained the same.
There aren't too many matches to bet on. Around 5-8 each day that fulfill the criteria. As i mentioned in part one, having a 25% difference in chance to clear bookie odds filters out a lot of matches. Let's see how we do today:
| Match | Prediction | Odds | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kasimpasa vs Gençlerbirliği | Kasimpasa | 2.2 | W |
| Meixian vs Beijing | Meixian | 2 | L |
| Virtus Entella vs Frosinone | Frosinone | 2 | W |
| Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice | Slask | 2.5 | W |
| Baltika Kalininggrad vs Tyumen | Baltika | 2.5 | W |
| St Johnstone vs Ross County | St Johnstone | 2.7 | L |
6 matches to wager on. I'm not comfortable betting with the Chinese league, tends to be terrible, but let's see if our filter holds up. Will update with the results tomorrow.
