Ajax did everything but score yesterday and after the red card, you knew they weren't going to. Oh well. Turning to a bet based on the model this time.
Atletico Paranaense - São Paulo
Sao Paulo are coming into the match on the back of 4 wins in a row. They also haven't lost to Paranaense in their last three meetings. Last season, they got 4 points off them.
Parananense have played 3 games in the last 9 days and although 1 of them was a cup game, i expect them to be a little tired heading into the match compared to Sao Paulo who played 2 in 9.
Sao Paulo have only lost one game all season and at 1.66 odds, i think there's good value here that they are able to walk away with at least a draw.
Pick: Sao Paulo X2 @ 1.66
