Great analysis, I think you covered all the bases there. Maybe Splinterlands gets lucky and manages to get some new players in with the final year of the current bull cycle and it is enough to get it through the upcoming bear year for bitcoin where ALTs will all be repriced lower. What will happen to Hive during this time could also impact the game.

Although the Concave packs are 1000DEC lower than Rebellion, they are still massively overpriced imo compared to the lack of hype and for non-whale players considering they removed all the leagues. A max level deck under $1k should have been a more realistic target imo to keep Chaos players in modern.