Hi, thanks a lot for investing in MPATH and for looking at the real returns. Some comments to, hopefully, clarify a few things further.
When looking at the upvotes, you should be getting them from two main accounts (maxuve and maxuvd) plus often some follow-throughs such as from accelerator (that runs the M token). These are kinda legacy accounts from the Hive fork - was just too pointless to power-down and transfer all those HIVE just to have them in a more meaningful username.
The non-linear reward curve makes it impossible for me to know what everyone is getting, but undoubtedly the more MPATH tokens one has, the higher the upvote and the higher the value as a %. That's just the nature of the non-linear curve. So when I publish weekly estimates they really are estimates based on assumptions such as 2k MPATH holding, posting every day and so on. They have meaning in that both members and myself can gauge if earnings are going up or down, but as you are discovering, every individual will see those changes reflected differently. They are expressed as APR returns in HIVE per HP so they are dimensionless quantities and can be compared on a timeline. For example, the recent drop in HIVE price has not really affected our returns.
That's also a big reason for having the weekly reward distribution as that is wholly proportional to token holdings. So, if one cannot post, or has a small number of tokens, those distros can add a significant amount each week. Those numbers are actual calculations rather than estimates and include income from various sources, not just curation.
One other benefit is that the MPATH token price usually rises every week to match the fund's underlying asset value. Thus the token distribution should be multiplied by the price increase. I don't include that number as it would make the weekly post even more complex to read!
Any questions, feel free to ask :-)
RE: Invest4free (passive) investment - weekly update