I read whole pandemic histories as you mentioned here. After consider all pandemic details Covid-19 has only few months of age. It was born very sooner. So I can't predict how corona virus affect world wide. But within 3 months covid-19 took over 36k people's deaths. This is biggest worst pandemic our generation facing. World health organization and world wide governments take immediate actions for control Covid-19. But it's increasing yet without reducing. Italy, Spain and USA have more deaths and patient who were already affected. Better to follow health instruction for control this.