Since I started in the world of cryptocurrencies I've been torn between two very different approaches in trading/investing: going all in or being conservative.
There are two sides possibly everything in life, but in crypto these different approaches stand out. Who hasn't seen that guy on Twitter that made 10x in a few months of trading? Or that person that put all on the line in a 25x leverage trade and got an amazing return over their entire portfolio? I see cases like these on a daily basis. It's easy to be greedy, to believe you can make 2x, 3x in a small amount of time. If so many people did it, why can't you?
It's exciting, it's seducing and tempting to "bet high". That's why people gamble, not only for the profits but for the rush you get when doing it.
What about the people that are on the other side of the scope? With such great risks for sure there are people out there risking high and losing high percentages. But it's easy to think it won't happen to you.
As said by Mike Tyson after the collapse of his fortune and fame: “If you’re not humble, life will visit humbleness upon you.”
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On the other hand, if you follow older and more experienced traders, you will find that the their approach is very, very different...
The more I read and learn about trading, the more I value what experienced traders mean about capital preservation. This quite different from going all in and trying to make huge amounts of money on every trade. It's the idea of taking it slow and keeping what you have; if you end up winning, great!
It sounds like something your father would tell you, doesn't it? "Be careful." Kinda boring. But it's the type of knowledge that only comes with experience. I've been reading about it and listening to people talk about it and I came to believe it is the best way to trade, specially if you think on the long term. I really do. But still, I know that I will only really follow these ideas once I have experience enough to do so. In other words, once I get burned enough by being reckless.
It's said that there are bold traders and there are old traders, but there are no old bold traders. If you don't manage your capital, you will eventually lose more than you should.
People that got into crypto in 2017 might have only learned about this at the beginning of 2018, when we entered a bear market. Before that, they had an entire year of profits and profits. You didn't need that much knowledge at the time to make money since the entire crypto market was in an extremely bull trend. If you just bought bitcoin at the beginning of 2017 and sold at the end, you could have easily made 15x. In a single trade.
Managing your capital is paramount in the long term. You will have losing trades, that's a certainty, no one just wins. So when you lose, lose little. And when you win, win big.
Learn how to assess risk and potential profit and enter trades that offer a high risk to reward ratio. Change your mindset from "Damn, it's mooning, it could go up 100% more, I'll get in!" to "If it doesn't go the way I think it will go, how much will I lose? Am I willing to lose it? Can I afford it?".
Some traders say that you should never trade more than 2% of your portfolio in a single trade. That seems very little right? It will take forever to actually win something...
That's why I want to bring another 2% idea: the 2% compounded over time. Have you thought what happens if you make 2% of your portfolio, let's say, every week? If you start with $5k, in a year you will have $14k, which is almost a 3 times what you started with. In two years, that will become almost $40k. And you don't need to change your strategy, just keep doing what you were doing since the beginning.
This is specially useful when you are starting. Most traders take years to become profitable; until then they are just learning. If you are careful while you're learning, you will preserve more of your capital and increase the profits you'll take from your wins when you become profitable.
Compounded interest is the clearest example of how profits can "snowball" if they are done consistently:
That's what happen if you put money early on in an investment and that's what can happen if you're consistent in your trades. And to be consistent you cannot be reckless.
If we stress out this idea a little more and say that you can make 1% of your portfolio every day. In this case, $5k becomes almost $190k in a single year! That's crazy! Of course it isn't easy to be this consistent, but it's a great way to visualize how profitable you can be even while doing small sized trades.
This is the principle that explain the dominance of a few, the 80/20 Pareto principle, not only when talking about money, but with several other things in life. A company that is 1% better than their competitors has a tendency of having way more than the competitors over time. A tree that grows 1% more than the others will dominate over time.
So consider this when you're thinking about trading or investing in crypto. There are many ways to achieve your goals. Going slow and steady is proving to be the way for me.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice, this is for informational and educational purposes only. This is only my opinion, make of it what you wish.
