Because you don't have insects in your inventory Bug will eat you, your current tokens will be sent to the treasure pile, and you will have to start all over again at the beginning. If you go west, Bug might still catch you but you have a fighting chance. Because you would be passing through Den #7 if you go west, you will have to roll to see if you wake up Red, the bear that lives there. A roll of 1-3 means Red stays asleep, a roll of 4-6 means Red in Den #7 wakes up and catches you. But because you have meat, Red's favourite snack, in your inventory you can feed him and he goes back to sleep. So I think this would be a safer route for you to go west and roll the dice as you pass through the den.