The price of BTC is hugging 80k for a while now, and is looking like a stable asset in a market that's supposed to be negatively volatile.
This is definitely the most ironic thing to say today considering that the alt market has been in a decline since Q2 of 2025, although it hasn't been such a horrible decline, but then it's beginning to look like the market bottomed in April this year, since that prices across all alts looks to have stabilized.
Two months ago it was at 65k, and looked primed to dump to 40k (as we've all anticipated) but then began to recover and go up.
Hit an ATH of 129k in late 2025 and started dumping as we all expected, but what we all didn't expect was BTC hitting it's peak, consolidated, lost a bit of dominance and still alts didn't pump.
But if we're to continue analysing the market logically, 2026 was supposed to be the main dump year, while 2027 becomes the year for consolidation, then the pump things after the halving in mid 2028, but I feel like we might not follow this pattern since the market doesn't look like it might bottom out in Q4 of this year.
Why?
We're seeing a pump rather than a slow bleed. The bleed started in January and we've predicted (according to market pattern) that it would likely continue till it bottoms out, but perhaps the market is taking this pattern mostly because BTC underperformed, and alts didn't pump enough to activate that two years bleed.
This is just pure logic, and perhaps the market will continue to lose it's potency to pump and change lives, perhaps crypto is losing its sting and the contributions of oversaturation as well as bad actors have finally made it difficult for us to experience 2017 and 2021 again.
There are lots of working logical theories. 2 months ago I was predicting a massive dump which will slowly bleed into 2027 as it should have been, but we never did experience the euphoria of coming out of a bull market.
Someone says the market extends with great feelings and not a feeling of pain and regret, but that was what we exactly got, and perhaps the market is compensation. The market is down already, but I guess no one factored that the market was going to say "oh there wasn't a lot of pump"
The reality is that 65k which we saw 2 months ago may just be the bottom. It's funny but it could actually be, but I still maintain my position that we would taste 45 to 50k BTC price and a further wipe out of 50% of alt projects.
It's the standard pain protocol of the market and even though we never experienced a bull run that was generally life-changing, I still think the presence of more bad actors in the space and other factors means that we might still get to taste that standard painful dump before the market finally bottoms in Q4 of this year, it's better to hope for the best and expect the worst when it comes to crypto.
I've learned the hard way that being excessively hopeful and expecting too much can be very painful. People who learned this lesson this cycle might never survive to see next "green market"
I've seen a lot of people actually and it's so sad it has to happen this way they (we) all had hopes for the market, but then it didn't happen as "best" as they thought it would. I hope we don't get to learn more lessons hopefully in 2028, especially if we're all still here.
Crypto messes with the mental health, and people are right to say this. I think everyone overall should be open to expect anything. There's no holds barred with anything that can happen.
BTC might decide to stay in 100k in 2028, or hit 300k, hive might stay at 30 cents in 2028 or hit 1$, or the bull run ends up happening in 2027 even before the halving or we continue to experience a bear into 2029.
This is the reality of the market now and it's left to you to optimize your plans, expectations and reactions based on these uncertain state of the present crypto market
