会做一个德州手牌分享的专栏，和大家分享讨论一些自己打的手牌，欢迎交流讨论，批评指正：D
这把用小手对半诈唬下了底池。虽然只打到翻拍就结束了，但是我愿意分享我的思路。
I used a small pokect pair to perfom a semi-bluff in this game. I get the pool in flop. But I want to share my thoughts here.
9人桌，级别1/2。
9 people table, sb/bb 1/2, no ante.
中位 筹码量大约100BB 加注3BB
Fold to mid position, stack around 100BB, raise to 3BB.
沉底位筹码量大约250BB 加注$2.25
Bottom position with around 250BB stack, reraise to 10BB.
我在小盲位， 筹码量大约200BB 手持55
I‘m in Small blind position with 200bb stack. Have poket 55 in hand.
这里我选择跟注。因为小对子去撞暗三条，只要对手筹码是跟注量的20倍以上，这个隐含赔率就很可观。如果水平更差的玩家我愿意用15倍跟注，这里超过20倍了，所以自然选择平跟。
I choose to call rather than fold or re-raise. I have a good equity here to hit three of a kind here. Only if your opponents who has 20 times more than pool stack. To call 3-bet with your small pocket pair is great. So here I choose to flat call.
我 跟注, 大盲位弃牌，中位弃牌.
I call, big blind fold, the initial raiser mid position also fold.
翻拍 A A K 彩虹面，花色不重要，所以没有记。
Flop AAK rainbow, pot 24BB.
我略微思考了一番，决定继续下注半池12BB. Bottom 弃牌。
Now my action, I put a CBET with half pool. My opponent fold after thinking for a while.
以下是我的思维分析：
Here is the reason I put a semi-bluff here.
大家一定要记住，德州扑克要玩得好必须要依据逻辑分析和概率计算，不能凭感觉乱猜。
First, TX hold em is based on equity calculation and logic analysis, you can't just guess.
我们来想想对手3bet的范围是什么。对手如果是一个正常的3bet，范围应该是JJ QQ KK AA AK AQs
Let's thinking about the 3-bet range here. In general, people may put a 3 bet with JJ, QQ, KK, AA, AK, AQs
但是就我们翻拍牌面来看，有A有K的组合已经很少，只剩下：13种和翻牌圈相关的牌面，
对手拿到QQ有6种组合，拿到JJ有6种组合。
总结：对手正常3bet范围内，有25种组合，其中13种跟翻牌有关。在加上对手还有些许可能在做light 3-bet诈唬（同花连张之类的），因此我们在这里可以估计，这个翻牌帮助到对手的概率是50%左右。
Based on the flop, there is only few A/K combination left. Only 13 hands left. Of course he can also has JJ/QQ with total 12 combination here. So we can conclude that about 50% percent possibility my opponents have been improved here.
再看看牌面，A K K三张牌。而我跟住的范围显然有A有K是合情合理的。我相信只要我下一定的注码，QQ JJ 这样的对子在这个牌面是不可能玩下去的。对手很难猜到我在诈唬。
However, A/K is definitely with my range here. If I put a bet here. I can force QQ/JJ hand fold here. And it's hard for them to find out I'm bluffing here. So once I put a bet here, I can read his range more accurate.
如果我用半个底池下注，我只需要成功33%，就可以收支平衡了。可以简单计算一下。假如底池是10，我下注5.对手有2/3时间跟注，有1/3时间弃牌。那么我的最终的期望是0(2/3)+(10+5)(1/3)=5，刚好平衡。
So I put half pot here, I need only 33% equity here to meet the expected value. For example. if the pool is 10 here. I bet 5. Oppnent may call 2/3 fold 1/3. I can have my ev balance here. 0(2/3)+(10+5)(1/3)=5
经过上述的分析，对手不能跟注的概率超过了33%，我估计为50%左右（最差概率是37.5），因此这里做半个底池的下注，从长期来看，是个盈利的行动。为了确保诈唬更加可信一点，我在这里下注稍微比半个底池多了一点。
So based on what I talked above, my real win rate range from 37.5% to 62%. So my half pool bet here can keep my positive expected value. So I put a bet here. And take down the pool.
经过数秒的思考，最终支持了我的行动。
