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More of a value investor myself - if you want an Australian perspective on Value investing have a look at Roger Montgomery - basically he's about identifying businesses which are undervalued based on fundamentals and holding for a long term.
Whilst the theory above makes sense - particularly in hindsight - buy when the market is low, sell when it's high - I think if you could consistently predict that it would be very very impressive.
RE: Buy and Hold and Cost Dollar Averaging are ineffective?